Burton Albion Predictions & Analysis

England Founded: 1950 BUR

Home Fortress Overperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

Burton Albion have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 0.82 xG but scoring 1.1 goals per game with clinical finishing. Home form has been stronger (40% home win rate vs 0% away), scoring 1.4 goals per game at home.

Performance Insights

Finishing Edge — 0.82 xG vs 1.1 goals/game (+0.28 above expected)
Home Strength — 40% home win rate, scoring 1.4 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 60% Over / 40% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 40% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Burton Albion's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

L L W L W

Win Rate

20%

Record (Last 10)

2W 3D 5L

Upcoming Predictions (0)

Upcoming Burton Albion Matches

No upcoming match predictions available

Recent Results & Statistics for Burton Albion (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

Burton Albion Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 11

Goals Conceded 18

Avg. Goals Scored 1.1

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.8

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 2

Draws 3

Losses 5

Win Rate 20%

Home (5) 2W 1D 2L

Away (5) 0W 2D 3L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 60%

Under 2.5 Rate 40%

BTTS Rate 40%

Avg. Total Goals 2.9

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Reliable Model correctly called 5/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Model has tracked this team well in recent fixtures.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (5/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 70%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 50%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 40%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 5 out of 10 recent Burton Albion matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. Interestingly, the model achieves higher accuracy on away games (60%) than home matches (40%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%

Home Accuracy 40%

Away Accuracy 60%

Attacking Trends

Burton Albion average 1.1 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 10.8 shots per game with 3.7 on target (34.3% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 0.82 against 1.1 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. Their 50% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.1

Avg. Shots 10.8

Shot Accuracy 34.3%

Avg. xG 0.82

Possession 50%

Home vs Away Performance

Burton Albion show a strong home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 40% home win rate (2W) vs 0% away (0W). At home, they score 1.4 goals/game and concede 1.4, while away they score 0.8 and concede 2.2. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 40%

Away Win Rate 0%

Home Goals/Game 1.4

Away Goals/Game 0.8

Goal Distribution

Burton Albion's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 43% coming before half-time and 57% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 41% of goals. Notably, 41% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

11%

0-15'

24%

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

41%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 43%

2nd Half Goals 57%

Peak Period 76-90 min (41%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Burton Albion's last 10 matches, 6 games (60%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 4 (40%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.9 (scored 1.1 + conceded 1.8). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 40% of matches.

Over 2.5 60%

Under 2.5 40%

Avg. Total Goals 2.9

BTTS Rate 40%