Cagliari Predictions & Analysis

Italy Founded: 1920 CAG

Underperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

Cagliari's recent results have underperformed their underlying chance creation. The team averages 1.30 xG but scores only 1.0 goals per game, suggesting inefficient finishing in recent fixtures (0.30 goals below expected per match).

Performance Insights

Finishing Gap — 1.30 xG vs 1.0 goals/game (-0.30 below expected)
Balanced Totals — 50% Over / 50% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches
Shot Quality — 11.0 shots/game, 4.3 on target (39.1% accuracy)

Explore Cagliari's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

W L L L L

Win Rate

40%

Record (Last 10)

4W 1D 5L

Upcoming Predictions (0)

Upcoming Cagliari Matches

No upcoming match predictions available

Recent Results & Statistics for Cagliari (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Cagliari Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 10

Goals Conceded 16

Avg. Goals Scored 1.0

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.6

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 4

Draws 1

Losses 5

Win Rate 40%

Home (5) 2W 1D 2L

Away (5) 2W 0D 3L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%

Under 2.5 Rate 50%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.6

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 6/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 60% (6/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 40%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 60%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 6 out of 10 recent Cagliari matches, achieving a 60% accuracy rate. Interestingly, the model achieves higher accuracy on away games (80%) than home matches (40%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 60%

Home Accuracy 40%

Away Accuracy 80%

Attacking Trends

Cagliari average 1.0 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 11.0 shots per game with 4.3 on target (39.1% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.30 exceeds their actual 1.0 goals, suggesting some wasteful finishing. Averaging 42% possession suggests a counter-attacking tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.0

Avg. Shots 11.0

Shot Accuracy 39.1%

Avg. xG 1.30

Possession 42%

Home vs Away Performance

Cagliari show little home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 40% home win rate (2W) vs 40% away (2W). At home, they score 0.8 goals/game and concede 1.0, while away they score 1.2 and concede 2.2. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 40%

Away Win Rate 40%

Home Goals/Game 0.8

Away Goals/Game 1.2

Goal Distribution

Cagliari's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 53% coming before half-time and 47% after. Their most dangerous period is the 16-30 minute window, accounting for 32% of goals.

0-15'

32%

16-30'

16%

31-45'

21%

46-60'

11%

61-75'

16%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 53%

2nd Half Goals 47%

Peak Period 16-30 min (32%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Cagliari's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.6 (scored 1.0 + conceded 1.6). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.6

BTTS Rate 50%