Portugal Predictions & Analysis

Portugal Founded: 1914 POR

Overperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

Portugal have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 1.60 xG but scoring 2.3 goals per game with clinical finishing. Home form has been stronger (57% home win rate vs 33% away), scoring 2.9 goals per game at home.

Performance Insights

Finishing Edge — 1.60 xG vs 2.3 goals/game (+0.70 above expected)
Home Strength — 57% home win rate, scoring 2.9 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 50% Over / 50% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Portugal's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

L W D W D

Win Rate

50%

Record (Last 10)

5W 3D 2L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Portugal Matches

World. UEFA Nations League (1)

18:45

Portugal

40% 29% 30% PREDICTION

Wales

1.41 : 1.19

xG:

1.41 : 1.19

Recent Results & Statistics for Portugal (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

World Cup - Qualification Europe

World Cup - Qualification Europe

World Cup - Qualification Europe

World Cup - Qualification Europe

World Cup - Qualification Europe

Portugal Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 23

Goals Conceded 10

Avg. Goals Scored 2.3

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.0

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 5

Draws 3

Losses 2

Win Rate 50%

Home (7) 4W 2D 1L

Away (3) 1W 1D 1L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%

Under 2.5 Rate 50%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 3.3

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 3/5 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 60% (3/5)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 40%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 60%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 3 out of 5 recent Portugal matches, achieving a 60% accuracy rate. This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 60%

Attacking Trends

Portugal average 2.3 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 17.0 shots per game with 4.0 on target (23.5% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 1.60 against 2.3 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. With 63% average possession, Portugal employ a possession-dominant playing style.

Goals/Game 2.3

Avg. Shots 17.0

Shot Accuracy 23.5%

Avg. xG 1.60

Possession 63%

Home vs Away Performance

Portugal show a strong home advantage In their last 7 home and 3 away matches, they have a 57% home win rate (4W) vs 33% away (1W). At home, they score 2.9 goals/game and concede 0.9, while away they score 1.0 and concede 1.3. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 57%

Away Win Rate 33%

Home Goals/Game 2.9

Away Goals/Game 1.0

Goal Distribution

Portugal's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 50% coming before half-time and 50% after. Their most dangerous period is the 0-15 minute window, accounting for 25% of goals. Notably, 25% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat. They are particularly dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 25% of goals in that window.

25%

0-15'

12%

16-30'

12%

31-45'

12%

46-60'

12%

61-75'

25%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 50%

2nd Half Goals 50%

Peak Period 0-15 min (25%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Portugal's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 3.3 (scored 2.3 + conceded 1.0). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 3.3

BTTS Rate 50%