Negelle Arsi Predictions & Analysis

Ethiopia

Under Team Low BTTS Strong Defense

Primary Market Signals

Under 2.5 Goals (80%)
Home Win (80%)
BTTS No (70%)

AI Betting Profile

Negelle Arsi are a low-scoring side with limited BTTS action. 80% finished Under 2.5 goals, averaging 1.9 total goals per game. Under 2.5 Goals has hit 80% of recent matches - totals markets carry more weight than outright winner bets.

Key Betting Angles

Under 2.5 Goals — 80% hit rate in last 10 matches
Home Win — 80% win rate at home in recent sample
BTTS No — only 30% of matches saw both teams score

Explore Negelle Arsi's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

L W D W W

Win Rate

60%

Record (Last 10)

6W 2D 2L

Upcoming Predictions (0)

Upcoming Negelle Arsi Matches

No upcoming match predictions available

Recent Results & Statistics for Negelle Arsi (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Negelle Arsi Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 11

Goals Conceded 8

Avg. Goals Scored 1.1

Avg. Goals Conceded 0.8

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 6

Draws 2

Losses 2

Win Rate 60%

Home (5) 4W 1D 0L

Away (5) 2W 1D 2L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 20%

Under 2.5 Rate 80%

BTTS Rate 30%

Avg. Total Goals 1.9

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 4/8 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with team traits and market signals above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (4/8)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 38%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 38%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 62%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 4 out of 8 recent Negelle Arsi matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (75% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (25%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%

Home Accuracy 75%

Away Accuracy 25%

Attacking Trends

Negelle Arsi average 1.1 goals per game across the last 10 matches. Their attacking output is at a moderate level.

Goals/Game 1.1

Home vs Away Performance

Negelle Arsi show a strong home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 80% home win rate (4W) vs 40% away (2W). At home, they score 1.4 goals/game and concede 0.4, while away they score 0.8 and concede 1.2. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 80%

Away Win Rate 40%

Home Goals/Game 1.4

Away Goals/Game 0.8

Goal Distribution

Negelle Arsi's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 33% coming before half-time and 67% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 67% of goals. Notably, 67% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

0-15'

16-30'

33%

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

67%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 33%

2nd Half Goals 67%

Peak Period 76-90 min (67%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Negelle Arsi's last 10 matches, 2 games (20%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 8 (80%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 1.9 (scored 1.1 + conceded 0.8). The trend clearly favors Under 2.5, indicating typically low-scoring affairs. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 30% of matches.

Over 2.5 20%

Under 2.5 80%

Avg. Total Goals 1.9

BTTS Rate 30%