Notts County Predictions & Analysis

England Founded: 1862 NOT

Overperforming Attack Home Fortress

AI Betting Profile

Notts County have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 1.01 xG but scoring 1.5 goals per game with clinical finishing. Home form has been stronger (50% home win rate vs 25% away), scoring 1.8 goals per game at home.

Performance Insights

Finishing Edge — 1.01 xG vs 1.5 goals/game (+0.49 above expected)
Home Strength — 50% home win rate, scoring 1.8 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 40% Over / 60% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Notts County's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

D W D W L

Win Rate

40%

Record (Last 10)

4W 2D 4L

Upcoming Predictions (2)

Upcoming Notts County Matches

England. EFL Trophy (1)

Nov 10

19:00

Burton Albion

39% 25% 36% PREDICTION

Notts County

1.71 : 1.64

xG:

1.71 : 1.64

England. League One (1)

Nov 14

15:00

Bromley

27% 28% 45% PREDICTION

Notts County

1.17 : 1.55

xG:

1.17 : 1.55

Recent Results & Statistics for Notts County (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Nottingham Forest U21

Notts County Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 15

Goals Conceded 12

Avg. Goals Scored 1.5

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.2

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 4

Draws 2

Losses 4

Win Rate 40%

Home (6) 3W 1D 2L

Away (4) 1W 1D 2L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 40%

Under 2.5 Rate 60%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.7

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Limited Model correctly called 2/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Small sample or difficult outcomes — lean on performance insights above for context.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 20% (2/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 30%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 30%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 2 out of 10 recent Notts County matches, achieving a 20% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (33% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (0%). The lower accuracy indicates this team's results are particularly difficult to forecast.

Overall Accuracy 20%

Home Accuracy 33%

Away Accuracy 0%

Attacking Trends

Notts County average 1.5 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 14.2 shots per game with 5.0 on target (35.2% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 1.01 against 1.5 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. Their 48% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.5

Avg. Shots 14.2

Shot Accuracy 35.2%

Avg. xG 1.01

Possession 48%

Home vs Away Performance

Notts County show a strong home advantage In their last 6 home and 4 away matches, they have a 50% home win rate (3W) vs 25% away (1W). At home, they score 1.8 goals/game and concede 1.0, while away they score 1.0 and concede 1.5. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 50%

Away Win Rate 25%

Home Goals/Game 1.8

Away Goals/Game 1.0

Goal Distribution

Notts County's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 32% coming before half-time and 68% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 41% of goals. Notably, 41% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

0-15'

12%

16-30'

15%

31-45'

46-60'

24%

61-75'

41%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 32%

2nd Half Goals 68%

Peak Period 76-90 min (41%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Notts County's last 10 matches, 4 games (40%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 6 (60%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.7 (scored 1.5 + conceded 1.2). The trend clearly favors Under 2.5, indicating typically low-scoring affairs. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 40%

Under 2.5 60%

Avg. Total Goals 2.7

BTTS Rate 50%