Predictions / Football / Notts County

Notts County Predictions & Analysis

Market Movements
England Founded: 1862 NOT
Under Team Home Fortress

Primary Market Signals

  1. Under 2.5 Goals (70%)

AI Betting Profile

Notts County are a side that relies heavily on home form. 70% finished Under 2.5 goals, averaging 2.5 total goals per game. Under 2.5 Goals has hit 70% of recent matches - totals markets carry more weight than outright winner bets.

Key Betting Angles

  • Under 2.5 Goals — 70% hit rate in last 10 matches

Explore Notts County's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

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Current Form
W D W L W
Win Rate
40%
Record (Last 10)
4W 2D 4L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Notts County Matches

19:00
Burton Albion Burton Albion
Notts County Notts County
xG:

Recent Results & Statistics for Notts County (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome

Notts County Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 14
Goals Conceded 11
Avg. Goals Scored 1.4
Avg. Goals Conceded 1.1

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 4
Draws 2
Losses 4
Win Rate 40%
Home (6) 3W 1D 2L
Away (4) 1W 1D 2L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 30%
Under 2.5 Rate 70%
BTTS Rate 50%
Avg. Total Goals 2.5

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Limited Model correctly called 2/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Small sample or difficult outcomes — lean on team traits and market signals above for context.
1X2 Prediction Accuracy 20% (2/10)
Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 40%
BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%
Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 40%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 2 out of 10 recent Notts County matches, achieving a 20% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (33% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (0%). The lower accuracy indicates this team's results are particularly difficult to forecast.

Overall Accuracy 20%
Home Accuracy 33%
Away Accuracy 0%

Attacking Trends

Notts County average 1.4 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 12.5 shots per game with 4.2 on target (33.6% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 1.01 against 1.4 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. Their 47% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.4
Avg. Shots 12.5
Shot Accuracy 33.6%
Avg. xG 1.01
Possession 47%

Home vs Away Performance

Notts County show a strong home advantage In their last 6 home and 4 away matches, they have a 50% home win rate (3W) vs 25% away (1W). At home, they score 1.8 goals/game and concede 1.0, while away they score 0.8 and concede 1.2. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 50%
Away Win Rate 25%
Home Goals/Game 1.8
Away Goals/Game 0.8

Goal Distribution

Notts County's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 37% coming before half-time and 63% after. Their most dangerous period is the 61-75 minute window, accounting for 30% of goals. Notably, 30% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

7%
0-15'
11%
16-30'
19%
31-45'
4%
46-60'
30%
61-75'
30%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 37%
2nd Half Goals 63%
Peak Period 61-75 min (30%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Notts County's last 10 matches, 3 games (30%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 7 (70%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.5 (scored 1.4 + conceded 1.1). The trend clearly favors Under 2.5, indicating typically low-scoring affairs. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 30%
Under 2.5 70%
Avg. Total Goals 2.5
BTTS Rate 50%

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