Atletico Paranaense Predictions & Analysis

Brazil Founded: 1924 ATL

Overperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

Atletico Paranaense have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 1.39 xG but scoring 1.7 goals per game with clinical finishing.

Performance Insights

Finishing Edge — 1.39 xG vs 1.7 goals/game (+0.31 above expected)
Balanced Totals — 50% Over / 50% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches
Shot Quality — 11.9 shots/game, 4.6 on target (38.7% accuracy)

Explore Atletico Paranaense's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

D L D W D

Win Rate

40%

Record (Last 10)

4W 4D 2L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Atletico Paranaense Matches

Brazil. Serie A (1)

22:30

Atletico Paranaense

30% 28% 42% PREDICTION

Bahia

1.26 : 1.54

xG:

1.26 : 1.54

Recent Results & Statistics for Atletico Paranaense (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Atletico Paranaense Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 17

Goals Conceded 16

Avg. Goals Scored 1.7

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.6

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 4

Draws 4

Losses 2

Win Rate 40%

Home (4) 2W 2D 0L

Away (6) 2W 2D 2L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%

Under 2.5 Rate 50%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 3.3

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Limited Model correctly called 3/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Small sample or difficult outcomes — lean on performance insights above for context.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 30% (3/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 30%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 20%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 20%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 3 out of 10 recent Atletico Paranaense matches, achieving a 30% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (50% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (17%). The lower accuracy indicates this team's results are particularly difficult to forecast.

Overall Accuracy 30%

Home Accuracy 50%

Away Accuracy 17%

Attacking Trends

Atletico Paranaense average 1.7 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 11.9 shots per game with 4.6 on target (38.7% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 1.39 against 1.7 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. Their 47% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.7

Avg. Shots 11.9

Shot Accuracy 38.7%

Avg. xG 1.39

Possession 47%

Home vs Away Performance

Atletico Paranaense display a moderate home advantage In their last 4 home and 6 away matches, they have a 50% home win rate (2W) vs 33% away (2W). At home, they score 2.0 goals/game and concede 1.0, while away they score 1.5 and concede 2.0. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 50%

Away Win Rate 33%

Home Goals/Game 2.0

Away Goals/Game 1.5

Goal Distribution

Atletico Paranaense's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 55% coming before half-time and 45% after. Their most dangerous period is the 0-15 minute window, accounting for 25% of goals. They are particularly dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 25% of goals in that window.

25%

0-15'

15%

16-30'

15%

31-45'

20%

46-60'

10%

61-75'

15%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 55%

2nd Half Goals 45%

Peak Period 0-15 min (25%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Atletico Paranaense's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 3.3 (scored 1.7 + conceded 1.6). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 3.3

BTTS Rate 50%