Bristol Rovers Predictions & Analysis

England Founded: 1883 BRI

Underperforming Attack Home Fortress

AI Betting Profile

Bristol Rovers's recent results have underperformed their underlying chance creation. The team averages 1.34 xG but scores only 0.6 goals per game, suggesting inefficient finishing in recent fixtures (0.74 goals below expected per match). Home form has been stronger (25% home win rate vs 0% away), scoring 0.8 goals per game at home. Across the last 10 matches, a 10% win rate underscores the gap between results and chance creation.

Performance Insights

Finishing Gap — 1.34 xG vs 0.6 goals/game (-0.74 below expected)
Home Struggle — 25% home win rate, conceding 1.2 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 60% Over / 40% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Bristol Rovers's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

L D L L L

Win Rate

10%

Record (Last 10)

1W 1D 8L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Bristol Rovers Matches

England. FA Cup (1)

15:00

Bristol Rovers

34% 30% 36% PREDICTION

Cambridge United

1.28 : 1.32

xG:

1.28 : 1.32

Recent Results & Statistics for Bristol Rovers (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Bristol Rovers Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 6

Goals Conceded 21

Avg. Goals Scored 0.6

Avg. Goals Conceded 2.1

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 1

Draws 1

Losses 8

Win Rate 10%

Home (4) 1W 1D 2L

Away (6) 0W 0D 6L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 60%

Under 2.5 Rate 40%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.7

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 5/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (5/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 50%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 50%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 30%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 5 out of 10 recent Bristol Rovers matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. The model shows consistent accuracy across both home and away fixtures (50%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%

Home Accuracy 50%

Away Accuracy 50%

Attacking Trends

Bristol Rovers average 0.6 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 12.3 shots per game with 3.7 on target (30.1% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.34 exceeds their actual 0.6 goals, suggesting some wasteful finishing. Their 48% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 0.6

Avg. Shots 12.3

Shot Accuracy 30.1%

Avg. xG 1.34

Possession 48%

Home vs Away Performance

Bristol Rovers show a strong home advantage In their last 4 home and 6 away matches, they have a 25% home win rate (1W) vs 0% away (0W). At home, they score 0.8 goals/game and concede 1.2, while away they score 0.5 and concede 2.7. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 25%

Away Win Rate 0%

Home Goals/Game 0.8

Away Goals/Game 0.5

Goal Distribution

Bristol Rovers's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 32% coming before half-time and 68% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 32% of goals. Notably, 32% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

0-15'

16%

16-30'

13%

31-45'

19%

46-60'

16%

61-75'

32%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 32%

2nd Half Goals 68%

Peak Period 76-90 min (32%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Bristol Rovers's last 10 matches, 6 games (60%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 4 (40%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.7 (scored 0.6 + conceded 2.1). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 60%

Under 2.5 40%

Avg. Total Goals 2.7

BTTS Rate 50%