Gremio Predictions & Analysis

Brazil Founded: 1903 GRE

Home Fortress Overperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

Gremio have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 0.74 xG but scoring 1.1 goals per game with clinical finishing. Home form has been stronger (80% home win rate vs 0% away), scoring 2.0 goals per game at home.

Performance Insights

Finishing Edge — 0.74 xG vs 1.1 goals/game (+0.36 above expected)
Home Strength — 80% home win rate, scoring 2.0 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 50% Over / 50% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Gremio's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

L L W W D

Win Rate

40%

Record (Last 10)

4W 2D 4L

Upcoming Predictions (2)

Upcoming Gremio Matches

Brazil. Serie A (2)

Sep 16

22:30

Botafogo

56% 25% 19% PREDICTION

Gremio

1.87 : 1.03

xG:

1.87 : 1.03

Sep 20

14:00

Gremio

20% 26% 54% PREDICTION

Palmeiras

1.01 : 1.78

xG:

1.01 : 1.78

Recent Results & Statistics for Gremio (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Gremio Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 11

Goals Conceded 11

Avg. Goals Scored 1.1

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.1

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 4

Draws 2

Losses 4

Win Rate 40%

Home (5) 4W 0D 1L

Away (5) 0W 2D 3L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%

Under 2.5 Rate 50%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.2

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 6/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 60% (6/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 50%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 60%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 6 out of 10 recent Gremio matches, achieving a 60% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (100% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (20%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 60%

Home Accuracy 100%

Away Accuracy 20%

Attacking Trends

Gremio average 1.1 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 11.5 shots per game with 3.4 on target (29.6% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 0.74 against 1.1 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. Their 48% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.1

Avg. Shots 11.5

Shot Accuracy 29.6%

Avg. xG 0.74

Possession 48%

Home vs Away Performance

Gremio show a strong home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 80% home win rate (4W) vs 0% away (0W). At home, they score 2.0 goals/game and concede 1.0, while away they score 0.2 and concede 1.2. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 80%

Away Win Rate 0%

Home Goals/Game 2.0

Away Goals/Game 0.2

Goal Distribution

Gremio's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 53% coming before half-time and 47% after. Their most dangerous period is the 16-30 minute window, accounting for 33% of goals.

0-15'

33%

16-30'

13%

31-45'

20%

46-60'

61-75'

20%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 53%

2nd Half Goals 47%

Peak Period 16-30 min (33%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Gremio's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.2 (scored 1.1 + conceded 1.1). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.2

BTTS Rate 50%