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Atletico Nacional Predictions & Analysis

Market Movements
Colombia Founded: 1947 NAC
Overperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

Atletico Nacional have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 1.33 xG but scoring 2.4 goals per game with clinical finishing.

Performance Insights

  • Finishing Edge — 1.33 xG vs 2.4 goals/game (+1.07 above expected)
  • Balanced Totals — 60% Over / 40% Under in last 10, no clear edge
  • Balanced BTTS — 40% both teams scored in last 10 matches
  • Shot Quality — 16.0 shots/game, 6.9 on target (43.1% accuracy)

Explore Atletico Nacional's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

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Current Form
W W W W W
Win Rate
90%
Record (Last 10)
9W 0D 1L

Upcoming Predictions (2)

Upcoming Atletico Nacional Matches

Colombia Colombia. Primera A (2)
xG
Sep 21
01:15
Llaneros Llaneros
18% 30% 52% PREDICTION
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
0.76 : 1.45
xG:
0.76 : 1.45
Sep 25
00:30
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
38% 34% 27% PREDICTION
Millonarios Millonarios
1.10 : 0.89
xG:
1.10 : 0.89

Recent Results & Statistics for Atletico Nacional (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome
Sep 17
W
Primera A Primera A
Primera A
La Equidad La Equidad
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
2-3
O/U✖ BTTS✖ 1X2✔ CS✖
Sep 13
W
Primera A Primera A
Primera A
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
Rionegro Aguilas Rionegro Aguilas
2-0
O/U✔ BTTS✖ 1X2✔ CS✖
Sep 08
W
Copa Colombia Copa Colombia
Copa Colombia
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
3-0
O/U✖ BTTS✖ 1X2✔ CS✖
Aug 30
W
Primera A Primera A
Primera A
Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
1-5
O/U✖ BTTS✖ 1X2✔ CS✖
Aug 27
W
Primera A Primera A
Primera A
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
2-1
O/U✖ BTTS✖ 1X2✔ CS✖
Aug 23
W
Primera A Primera A
Primera A
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
1-2
O/U✖ BTTS✖ 1X2✔ CS✖
Aug 10
L
Primera A Primera A
Primera A
America de Cali America de Cali
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
1-0
O/U✔ BTTS✖ 1X2✔ CS✔
Aug 02
W
Primera A Primera A
Primera A
Jaguares Jaguares
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
0-3
O/U✖ BTTS✔ 1X2✔ CS✖
Jul 29
W
Copa Colombia Copa Colombia
Copa Colombia
Tigres FC Tigres FC
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
0-2
O/U✔ BTTS✖ 1X2✔ CS✔
Jul 21
W
Copa Colombia Copa Colombia
Copa Colombia
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
Tigres FC Tigres FC
2-0
O/U✔ BTTS✖ 1X2✔ CS✔

Atletico Nacional Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 24
Goals Conceded 6
Avg. Goals Scored 2.4
Avg. Goals Conceded 0.6

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 9
Draws 0
Losses 1
Win Rate 90%
Home (4) 4W 0D 0L
Away (6) 5W 0D 1L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 60%
Under 2.5 Rate 40%
BTTS Rate 40%
Avg. Total Goals 3.0

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Reliable Model correctly called 10/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Model has tracked this team well in recent fixtures.
1X2 Prediction Accuracy 100% (10/10)
Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 40%
BTTS Prediction Accuracy 10%
Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 30%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 10 out of 10 recent Atletico Nacional matches, achieving a 100% accuracy rate. The model shows consistent accuracy across both home and away fixtures (100%). This strong accuracy suggests the model has a solid grasp of this team's playing patterns.

Overall Accuracy 100%
Home Accuracy 100%
Away Accuracy 100%

Attacking Trends

Atletico Nacional average 2.4 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 16.0 shots per game with 6.9 on target (43.1% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 1.33 against 2.4 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. With 63% average possession, Atletico Nacional employ a possession-dominant playing style.

Goals/Game 2.4
Avg. Shots 16.0
Shot Accuracy 43.1%
Avg. xG 1.33
Possession 63%

Home vs Away Performance

Atletico Nacional display a moderate home advantage In their last 4 home and 6 away matches, they have a 100% home win rate (4W) vs 83% away (5W). At home, they score 2.2 goals/game and concede 0.2, while away they score 2.5 and concede 0.8. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 100%
Away Win Rate 83%
Home Goals/Game 2.2
Away Goals/Game 2.5

Goal Distribution

Atletico Nacional's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 54% coming before half-time and 46% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 29% of goals. Notably, 29% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

12%
0-15'
21%
16-30'
21%
31-45'
4%
46-60'
12%
61-75'
29%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 54%
2nd Half Goals 46%
Peak Period 76-90 min (29%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Atletico Nacional's last 10 matches, 6 games (60%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 4 (40%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 3.0 (scored 2.4 + conceded 0.6). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 40% of matches.

Over 2.5 60%
Under 2.5 40%
Avg. Total Goals 3.0
BTTS Rate 40%

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