Predictions / Football / Egypt. Second League / El Seka El Hadid vs Tersana

Prediction Audit: El Seka El Hadid vs Tersana Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Aug 21, 2026 - 13:30
0 1.28
1 1.32
xG Accuracy: 64%

AI correctly predicted the Tersana win.

The match finished 0–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Tersana Tersana ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Tersana win 0–1).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 21, 2026 · 13:29 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · El Seka El Hadid 1.28 — Tersana 1.32
  2. Aug 21, 2026 · 13:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Tersana win · 0–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 15, 2026 · 01:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4020772

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tersana win · El Seka El Hadid 0–1 Tersana
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Second League
  • Fixture: El Seka El Hadid vs Tersana
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-21 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): El Seka El Hadid 1.28 — Tersana 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Predictions
Second League Second League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Masar 8 6 1 1 19
2 Haras El Hodood 8 5 3 0 18
3 Kahraba Ismailia 8 5 2 1 17
4 Itesalat 7 5 0 2 15
5 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 7 4 2 1 14
6 AL Nasr SC 8 3 4 1 13
7 Pharco 7 4 1 2 13
8 Tersana 8 3 4 1 13
9 El Mansura 7 3 2 2 11
10 El Seka El Hadid 8 3 2 3 11
11 El Dakhleya 8 2 3 3 9
12 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 7 2 2 3 8
13 Tanta SC 7 2 2 3 8
14 El Entag EL Harby 7 1 4 2 7
15 Team 7 2 1 4 7
16 Ismaily SC 7 1 3 3 6
17 Dayrout 8 1 2 5 5
18 Proxy 8 1 1 6 4
19 La Viena FC 7 0 3 4 3
20 Mega Sport 8 0 2 6 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Masar 8 16 6 +10 19
2 Kahraba Ismailia 8 15 6 +9 17
3 El Seka El Hadid 8 12 14 -2 11
4 Haras El Hodood 8 11 3 +8 18
5 Itesalat 7 11 5 +6 15
6 AL Nasr SC 8 11 6 +5 13
7 El Entag EL Harby 7 11 10 +1 7
8 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 7 9 4 +5 14
9 Ismaily SC 7 9 13 -4 6
10 Pharco 7 8 6 +2 13
11 Tersana 8 8 7 +1 13
12 El Mansura 7 8 7 +1 11
13 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 7 7 7 0 8
14 Team 7 7 10 -3 7
15 El Dakhleya 8 6 10 -4 9
16 Mega Sport 8 5 12 -7 2
17 Tanta SC 7 4 7 -3 8
18 La Viena FC 7 4 9 -5 3
19 Proxy 8 3 11 -8 4
20 Dayrout 8 3 15 -12 5