Prediction Audit: Zlín II vs Uherský Brod Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Zlín II

Sep 02, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.33

1 1.27

xG Accuracy: 85%

Uherský Brod

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).

The model had projected Zlín II at 36.6%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Zlín II Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

1X2: model leaned Zlín II; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 1–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

Sep 02, 2026 · 14:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Zlín II 1.33 — Uherský Brod 1.27
Sep 02, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe

Historical Decision No Primary Bet

Outcome Missed

Pre-match metrics (historical context)

Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate

Validation: Pending

Evidence ★★★★★

No strong statistical edge
Market has already priced much of the edge
Validation pending

Market Compatibility 100/100

Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 27, 2026 · 02:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5622058

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Zlín II 1–1 Uherský Brod

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?: This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?: xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?: Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?: Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. liga - MSFL
Fixture: Zlín II vs Uherský Brod
Kickoff: 2026-09-02 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Zlín II 1.33 — Uherský Brod 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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3. liga - MSFL — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Uničov	12	8	2	2	26
2	Líšeň II	11	7	4	0	25
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	11	7	2	2	23
4	Frýdek-Místek	12	6	3	3	21
5	Sigma Olomouc II	11	6	1	4	19
6	Hranice	11	5	2	4	17
7	Hodonín	12	5	2	5	17
8	Vítkovice	12	4	4	4	16
9	Unie Hlubina	11	4	3	4	15
10	Slovácko II	11	4	3	4	15
11	Uherský Brod	11	4	3	4	15
12	Zlín II	11	4	3	4	15
13	Karviná II	12	4	2	6	14
14	Vrchovina	12	4	2	6	14
15	Blansko	12	2	5	5	11
16	Vsetín	12	3	1	8	10
17	Polanka nad Odrou	11	1	3	7	6
18	Havířov	11	0	5	6	5

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Uničov	12	26	14	+12	26
2	Unie Hlubina	11	26	22	+4	15
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	11	24	16	+8	23
4	Líšeň II	11	20	4	+16	25
5	Sigma Olomouc II	11	20	13	+7	19
6	Frýdek-Místek	12	19	13	+6	21
7	Karviná II	12	19	21	-2	14
8	Uherský Brod	11	18	18	0	15
9	Blansko	12	18	28	-10	11
10	Hodonín	12	17	13	+4	17
11	Slovácko II	11	16	12	+4	15
12	Hranice	11	15	10	+5	17
13	Zlín II	11	13	16	-3	15
14	Vrchovina	12	13	24	-11	14
15	Vítkovice	12	12	13	-1	16
16	Vsetín	12	11	26	-15	10
17	Polanka nad Odrou	11	7	17	-10	6
18	Havířov	11	6	20	-14	5