Predictions / Football / Brazil. Serie B / Londrina vs Juventude

Prediction Audit: Londrina vs Juventude Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Londrina Londrina
Sep 01, 2026 - 22:30
0 1.15
0 1.10
xG Accuracy: 54%
Juventude Juventude

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 0–0).

The model had projected Londrina at 35.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Londrina Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 0-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 0–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Londrina; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 0–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Sep 01, 2026 · 22:29 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Londrina 1.15 — Juventude 1.10
  2. Sep 01, 2026 · 22:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 0–0
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 26, 2026 · 02:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5506909

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Londrina 0–0 Juventude
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Serie B
  • Fixture: Londrina vs Juventude
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-01 22:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.1% · Draw 32.2% · Away 32.7%
  • xG (showing): Londrina 1.15 — Juventude 1.1 (total xG ≈ 2.25)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 60.9% · Over 2.5 39.1%); BTTS No (Yes 47.3% · No 52.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 47.3% · No 52.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (13.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie B Serie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Vila Nova 33 18 7 8 61
2 Novorizontino 33 17 9 7 60
3 Juventude 33 17 9 7 60
4 Fortaleza EC 33 15 12 6 57
5 Criciuma 33 16 8 9 56
6 Atletico Goianiense 33 14 11 8 53
7 CRB 33 15 7 11 52
8 Sport Recife 33 13 12 8 51
9 Goias 33 14 6 13 48
10 Operario-PR 33 13 9 11 48
11 Cuiaba 33 11 14 8 47
12 São Bernardo 33 12 10 11 46
13 Athletic Club 33 10 13 10 43
14 Nautico Recife 33 11 9 13 42
15 Ceara 33 11 9 13 42
16 Botafogo SP 33 11 8 14 41
17 Avai 33 10 6 17 36
18 Londrina 33 7 8 18 29
19 America Mineiro 33 4 5 24 17
20 Ponte Preta 33 3 4 26 13
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Novorizontino 33 59 28 +31 60
2 CRB 33 51 47 +4 52
3 Vila Nova 33 46 31 +15 61
4 São Bernardo 33 46 36 +10 46
5 Sport Recife 33 45 35 +10 51
6 Operario-PR 33 44 45 -1 48
7 Londrina 33 42 49 -7 29
8 Atletico Goianiense 33 41 31 +10 53
9 Athletic Club 33 40 39 +1 43
10 Juventude 33 39 21 +18 60
11 Fortaleza EC 33 39 29 +10 57
12 Nautico Recife 33 39 42 -3 42
13 Botafogo SP 33 37 38 -1 41
14 Ceara 33 35 40 -5 42
15 Criciuma 33 34 28 +6 56
16 Goias 33 34 40 -6 48
17 Avai 33 33 43 -10 36
18 Cuiaba 33 32 26 +6 47
19 America Mineiro 33 21 54 -33 17
20 Ponte Preta 33 18 73 -55 13
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Novorizontino 33 19.0 10.4 +8.6 60
2 Cuiaba 33 14.1 7.2 +6.9 47
3 Fortaleza EC 33 16.8 10.1 +6.7 57
4 Atletico Goianiense 33 16.8 12.9 +3.9 53
5 Juventude 33 12.8 9.3 +3.5 60
6 Vila Nova 33 13.9 10.7 +3.2 61
7 Criciuma 33 11.5 8.3 +3.2 56
8 CRB 33 18.6 15.8 +2.8 52
9 Londrina 33 12.5 10.9 +1.6 29
10 Avai 33 12.0 10.4 +1.6 36
11 Sport Recife 33 15.5 14.2 +1.3 51
12 Botafogo SP 33 14.6 14.3 +0.3 41
13 Nautico Recife 33 15.9 16.6 -0.7 42
14 São Bernardo 33 13.9 15.2 -1.3 46
15 Goias 33 12.8 14.8 -2.0 48
16 Operario-PR 33 14.5 17.2 -2.7 48
17 Ceara 33 9.6 15.1 -5.5 42
18 America Mineiro 33 11.9 18.4 -6.5 17
19 Athletic Club 33 13.3 21.4 -8.1 43
20 Ponte Preta 33 9.9 26.5 -16.6 13
Serie B Brazil. Serie B Predictions