Predictions / Football / Ireland. First Division / Finn Harps vs Cobh Ramblers

Prediction Audit: Finn Harps vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Finn Harps Finn Harps
Aug 21, 2026 - 18:45
1 1.21
3 1.39
xG Accuracy: 61%
Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers

AI correctly predicted the Cobh Ramblers win.

The match finished 1–3, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 4 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

What failed

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Cobh Ramblers win 1–3).

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 21, 2026 · 18:44 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Finn Harps 1.21 — Cobh Ramblers 1.39
  2. Aug 21, 2026 · 18:45 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Cobh Ramblers win · 1–3
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 15, 2026 · 02:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4038612

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Cobh Ramblers win · Finn Harps 1–3 Cobh Ramblers
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: First Division
  • Fixture: Finn Harps vs Cobh Ramblers
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-21 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Finn Harps 1.21 — Cobh Ramblers 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

Related Predictions

See Upcoming First Division Matches Track Finn Harps Next Match Prediction Track Cobh Ramblers Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Get Premium Predictions for Finn Harps & Cobh Ramblers!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
First Division First Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Cork City 34 22 5 7 71
2 Bray Wanderers 34 15 8 11 53
3 UCD 34 15 7 12 52
4 Cobh Ramblers 34 14 7 13 49
5 Longford Town 34 13 9 12 48
6 Kerry 34 13 9 12 48
7 Athlone Town 34 13 9 12 48
8 Wexford 34 11 8 15 41
9 Treaty United 34 9 9 16 36
10 Finn Harps 34 6 7 21 25
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Cork City 34 71 34 +37 71
2 Bray Wanderers 34 65 49 +16 53
3 UCD 34 61 48 +13 52
4 Longford Town 34 47 45 +2 48
5 Cobh Ramblers 34 46 50 -4 49
6 Kerry 34 42 40 +2 48
7 Athlone Town 34 41 40 +1 48
8 Wexford 34 40 51 -11 41
9 Treaty United 34 33 52 -19 36
10 Finn Harps 34 31 68 -37 25
First Division Ireland. First Division Predictions