Predictions / Football / Burkina-Faso. Ligue 1 / Vitesse vs Comoé

Prediction Audit: Vitesse vs Comoé Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Vitesse Vitesse
Oct 11, 2026 - 15:30
0 1.39
0 1.21
xG Accuracy: 49%
Comoé Comoé

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 0–0).

The model had projected Vitesse at 39.5%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Vitesse Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • 1X2: model leaned Vitesse; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 0–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Oct 08, 2026 · 01:09 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Vitesse 1.39 — Comoé 1.21
  2. Oct 11, 2026 · 15:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 0–0
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 01:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13885879

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Vitesse 0–0 Comoé
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Ligue 1
  • Fixture: Vitesse vs Comoé
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Vitesse 1.39 — Comoé 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Ligue 1 Ligue 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 USFA 3 3 0 0 9
2 Rahimo 4 3 0 1 9
3 FocuSport 4 3 0 1 9
4 Vitesse 4 2 2 0 8
5 ASFA-Yennenga 3 2 0 1 6
6 Majestic 4 2 0 2 6
7 SONABEL 4 2 0 2 6
8 Réal du Faso 3 1 1 1 4
9 Maya 3 1 1 1 4
10 ASFB 4 1 1 2 4
11 Comoé 4 1 1 2 4
12 Sporting Cascades 4 1 1 2 4
13 CFFEB 4 1 1 2 4
14 Douanes 3 1 0 2 3
15 RCK 3 0 1 2 1
16 Salitas 4 0 1 3 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rahimo 4 9 5 +4 9
2 FocuSport 4 8 8 0 9
3 SONABEL 4 7 4 +3 6
4 USFA 3 6 0 +6 9
5 Vitesse 4 6 3 +3 8
6 Réal du Faso 3 5 4 +1 4
7 ASFA-Yennenga 3 3 1 +2 6
8 Majestic 4 3 4 -1 6
9 ASFB 4 3 5 -2 4
10 Sporting Cascades 4 3 6 -3 4
11 Salitas 4 3 9 -6 1
12 Maya 3 2 2 0 4
13 CFFEB 4 2 3 -1 4
14 Douanes 3 2 3 -1 3
15 RCK 3 2 5 -3 1
16 Comoé 4 1 3 -2 4