The model missed the final outcome (Văn Hiến win 0–1).
The model had projected Ho Chi Minh City City at 36.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
F
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Ho Chi Minh City City Văn Hiến ✖ Incorrect
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
- Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- 1X2: model leaned Ho Chi Minh City City; match finished Văn Hiến
Market lesson
The full-time result was Văn Hiến win 0–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Sep 19, 2026 · 00:46 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Ho Chi Minh City 1.32 — Văn Hiến 1.28
-
Sep 25, 2026 · 10:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Văn Hiến win · 0–1
-
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Văn Hiến win · Ho Chi Minh City 0–1 Văn Hiến
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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V.League 2 — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hung Yen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Dong Thap | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Pho Hien | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Thai Nguyen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Ho Chi Minh City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Sanna Khanh Hoa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Xuan Thien Phu Tho | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Binh Duong | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Văn Hiến | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Binh Dinh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Long An | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Lam Dong | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Bóng đá Huế | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Than Quang Ninh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hung Yen | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Dong Thap | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Pho Hien | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Thai Nguyen | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Ho Chi Minh City | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sanna Khanh Hoa | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Xuan Thien Phu Tho | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Binh Dinh | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Long An | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Binh Duong | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Văn Hiến | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Lam Dong | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Bóng đá Huế | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Than Quang Ninh | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
