Predictions / Football / Indonesia. Liga 1 / Persijap vs Malut United

Prediction Audit: Persijap vs Malut United Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Oct 24, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 85%

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade Not available

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Persijap Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct
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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Oct 24, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
  2. FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: No prediction record
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Oct 19, 2026 · 02:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-16491325

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Persijap 1–1 Malut United
Prediction No prediction record
Decision Grade Not assessed

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga 1
  • Fixture: Persijap vs Malut United
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-24 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Persijap 1.34 — Malut United 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Cautious / Wait

Outcome: —

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

November 03, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga 1 Liga 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Persija 8 6 0 2 18
2 Dewa United 8 5 2 1 17
3 Bali United 8 5 1 2 16
4 Persib Bandung 8 5 1 2 16
5 Persepam Madura Utd 8 5 1 2 16
6 Persita 7 4 3 0 15
7 Persebaya Surabaya 8 3 4 1 13
8 Bhayangkara FC 8 2 5 1 11
9 Malut United 8 3 3 2 10
10 Persik Kediri 8 3 1 4 10
11 Arema FC 8 2 3 3 9
12 Pusamania Borneo 7 3 0 4 9
13 PSM Makassar 8 2 3 3 9
14 Garudayaksa 8 2 2 4 8
15 PSIM Yogyakarta 8 1 2 5 5
16 PSS Sleman 8 1 1 6 4
17 Adhyaksa 8 1 2 5 3
18 Persijap 8 0 2 6 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bali United 8 23 9 +14 16
2 Persija 8 18 8 +10 18
3 Persita 7 17 10 +7 15
4 Arema FC 8 17 17 0 9
5 Persib Bandung 8 15 8 +7 16
6 Dewa United 8 14 11 +3 17
7 Persepam Madura Utd 8 13 10 +3 16
8 Malut United 8 12 10 +2 10
9 Bhayangkara FC 8 11 10 +1 11
10 PSS Sleman 8 11 16 -5 4
11 Persebaya Surabaya 8 10 7 +3 13
12 Garudayaksa 8 10 15 -5 8
13 Persik Kediri 8 9 11 -2 10
14 PSM Makassar 8 9 13 -4 9
15 Pusamania Borneo 7 7 9 -2 9
16 PSIM Yogyakarta 8 5 12 -7 5
17 Persijap 8 4 16 -12 2
18 Adhyaksa 8 3 16 -13 3