Predictions / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 / Viveiro vs Antela

Prediction Audit: Viveiro vs Antela Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Viveiro Viveiro
Sep 06, 2026 - 10:00
0 1.29
1 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
⚽
Antela

AI correctly predicted the Antela win.

The match finished 0–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Antela Antela ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Antela win 0–1).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 31, 2026 · 07:57 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Viveiro 1.29 — Antela 1.31
  2. Sep 06, 2026 · 10:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Antela win · 0–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6368227

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Antela win · Viveiro 0–1 Antela
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
  • Fixture: Viveiro vs Antela
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-06 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Viveiro 1.29 — Antela 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Boiro 5 3 1 1 10
2 Portonovo SD 6 3 1 2 10
3 Barco 5 3 1 1 10
4 Lalin 5 3 1 1 10
5 Antela 5 3 1 1 10
6 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9
7 Villalbés 5 2 3 0 9
8 Alondras 5 3 0 2 9
9 Pontevedra II 6 2 1 3 7
10 Celta de Vigo III 5 2 1 2 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 7
12 Somozas 6 1 3 2 6
13 Atlético Arteixo 6 1 3 2 6
14 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5
15 Silva 5 1 2 2 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 3
18 Coruña 5 1 0 4 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Boiro 5 10 6 +4 10
2 Alondras 5 10 9 +1 9
3 Sarriana 5 9 7 +2 9
4 Pontevedra II 6 9 7 +2 7
5 Portonovo SD 6 8 6 +2 10
6 Celta de Vigo III 5 8 8 0 7
7 Estradense 5 8 9 -1 7
8 Atlético Arteixo 6 8 10 -2 6
9 Villalbés 5 7 5 +2 9
10 Coruña 5 7 11 -4 3
11 Barco 5 6 4 +2 10
12 Lalin 5 5 3 +2 10
13 Antela 5 5 4 +1 10
14 Somozas 6 5 6 -1 6
15 Celtiga 5 5 6 -1 5
16 Silva 5 5 8 -3 5
17 Arenteiro 5 4 7 -3 3
18 Viveiro 5 2 5 -3 4
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 Predictions