AI correctly predicted the RFC Seraing Reserve U21 win.
The match finished 1–2, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 RFC Seraing Reserve U21 RFC Seraing Reserve U21 ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 1-2 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 3 goals materialised
- RFC Seraing Reserve U21 attacking xG significantly stronger (1.52 vs 1.08)
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (3 goals)
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (RFC Seraing Reserve U21 win 1–2).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Aug 22, 2026 · 03:44 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · RFC de Liege U21 1.08 — RFC Seraing Reserve U21 1.52
-
Aug 28, 2026 · 18:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result RFC Seraing Reserve U21 win · 1–2
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
RFC Seraing Reserve U21 win · RFC de Liege U21 1–2 RFC Seraing Reserve U21
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Reserve Pro League — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waasland-Beveren U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | RWDM U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | RAAL La Louviere U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Westerlo U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | RFC Seraing Reserve U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Kortrijk U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Francs Borains U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | RFC de Liege U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sp. Hasselt U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Lierse K. U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waasland-Beveren U21 | 4 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 | Westerlo U21 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Francs Borains U21 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | RFC Seraing Reserve U21 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere U21 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 6 | RWDM U21 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Kortrijk U21 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 | K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Lierse K. U21 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 10 | Sp. Hasselt U21 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | RFC de Liege U21 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
