AI correctly predicted the Fortuna Köln II win.
The match finished 3–2, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Fortuna Köln II Fortuna Köln II ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 5 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (5 goals)
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Fortuna Köln II win 3–2).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Aug 30, 2026 · 13:32 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Fortuna Köln II 1.32 — Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 1.28
-
Aug 30, 2026 · 13:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Fortuna Köln II win · 3–2
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Fortuna Köln II win · Fortuna Köln II 3–2 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Oberliga - Mittelrhein — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wegberg-Beeck | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 2 | Eintracht Hohkeppel | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Lindenthal-Hohenlind | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 | SSV Merten | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Fortuna Köln II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Frechen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Chlodwig Zulpich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Düren Merzenich | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Bornheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Hürth | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | VfL Vichttal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Siegburger SV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Hennef 05 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Porz | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 15 | Neunkirchen-Seelscheid | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SSV Merten | 7 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 13 |
| 2 | Eintracht Hohkeppel | 7 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 14 |
| 3 | VfL Vichttal | 7 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Bornheim | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Wegberg-Beeck | 7 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 6 | Chlodwig Zulpich | 7 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Fortuna Köln II | 6 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Lindenthal-Hohenlind | 7 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 9 | Düren Merzenich | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Frechen | 7 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Siegburger SV | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Porz | 7 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | Neunkirchen-Seelscheid | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
| 14 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 6 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 3 |
| 15 | Hürth | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Hennef 05 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
