AI correctly predicted the Andranik win.
The match finished 3–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Andranik Andranik ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 3-1 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 4 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Andranik win 3–1).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Sep 01, 2026 · 02:14 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Andranik 1.41 — Pyunik II 1.19
-
Sep 07, 2026 · 11:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Andranik win · 3–1
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Andranik win · Andranik 3–1 Pyunik II
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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First League — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympia Yerevan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| 2 | BKMA II | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Bentonit Ijevan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 | Andranik | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Lernayin Artsakh | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Pyunik II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Araks Ararat | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Mika | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Banants II | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Shirak II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Ararat II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Noah II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | Hayq | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ararat-Armenia II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Sardarapat 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bentonit Ijevan | 7 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 14 |
| 2 | Olympia Yerevan | 7 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | BKMA II | 8 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | Andranik | 7 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 13 |
| 5 | Lernayin Artsakh | 7 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pyunik II | 8 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Mika | 7 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Banants II | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | Araks Ararat | 6 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 | Ararat II | 6 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Noah II | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Ararat-Armenia II | 7 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | Shirak II | 6 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Sardarapat 2 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 |
| 15 | Hayq | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
