Predictions / Football / Poland. Central Youth League / Stal Rzeszów U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19

Prediction Audit: Stal Rzeszów U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Sep 20, 2026 - 10:30
0 1.21
3 1.39
xG Accuracy: 46%

AI correctly predicted the Legia Warszawa U19 win.

The match finished 0–3, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Legia Warszawa U19 Legia Warszawa U19 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 3 goals materialised

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (3 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Legia Warszawa U19 win 0–3).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Sep 14, 2026 · 01:08 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Stal Rzeszów U19 1.21 — Legia Warszawa U19 1.39
  2. Sep 20, 2026 · 10:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Legia Warszawa U19 win · 0–3
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8662061

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Legia Warszawa U19 win · Stal Rzeszów U19 0–3 Legia Warszawa U19
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Central Youth League
  • Fixture: Stal Rzeszów U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 10:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Stal Rzeszów U19 1.21 — Legia Warszawa U19 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Central Youth League Central Youth League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Legia Warszawa U19 8 6 2 0 20
2 Śląsk Wrocław U19 8 5 2 1 17
3 Wisła Kraków U19 7 3 3 1 12
4 Talent Warszawa U19 8 4 0 4 12
5 Miedź Legnica U19 7 4 0 3 12
6 Zagłębie Lubin U19 7 4 0 3 12
7 Jagiellonia U19 7 3 2 2 11
8 Raków Częstochowa U19 8 3 1 4 10
9 Lech Poznań U19 7 3 0 4 9
10 Arkonia U19 8 2 3 3 9
11 Górnik Zabrze U19 8 1 5 2 8
12 Stal Rzeszów U19 8 2 2 4 8
13 Korona Kielce U19 7 2 2 3 8
14 Polonia Warszawa U19 7 2 1 4 7
15 Arka Gdynia U19 8 1 3 4 6
16 Escola Varsovia U19 7 2 0 5 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Legia Warszawa U19 8 20 9 +11 20
2 Raków Częstochowa U19 8 16 13 +3 10
3 Talent Warszawa U19 8 16 15 +1 12
4 Wisła Kraków U19 7 13 8 +5 12
5 Śląsk Wrocław U19 8 12 5 +7 17
6 Jagiellonia U19 7 12 9 +3 11
7 Zagłębie Lubin U19 7 12 14 -2 12
8 Polonia Warszawa U19 7 11 10 +1 7
9 Lech Poznań U19 7 11 12 -1 9
10 Arka Gdynia U19 8 9 14 -5 6
11 Miedź Legnica U19 7 8 8 0 12
12 Górnik Zabrze U19 8 8 10 -2 8
13 Arkonia U19 8 8 11 -3 9
14 Korona Kielce U19 7 8 12 -4 8
15 Stal Rzeszów U19 8 8 14 -6 8
16 Escola Varsovia U19 7 3 11 -8 6