Predictions / Football / Hungary. NB III - Southeast / Honvéd II vs Monori Se

Prediction Audit: Honvéd II vs Monori Se Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Honvéd II Honvéd II
Aug 30, 2026 - 09:00
1 1.23
1 1.37
xG Accuracy: 85%
Monori Se Monori Se

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).

The model had projected Monori Se at 38.5%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Monori Se Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Monori Se; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 1–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 24, 2026 · 01:03 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Honvéd II 1.23 — Monori Se 1.37
  2. Aug 30, 2026 · 09:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 01:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5286856

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Honvéd II 1–1 Monori Se
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: NB III - Southeast
  • Fixture: Honvéd II vs Monori Se
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-30 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): Honvéd II 1.23 — Monori Se 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

Related Predictions

See Upcoming NB III - Southeast Matches Track Honvéd II Next Match Prediction Track Monori Se Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Get Premium Predictions for Honvéd II & Monori Se!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
NB III - Southeast NB III - Southeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gyulai Termál 11 11 0 0 33
2 III. Kerületi TUE 11 8 1 2 25
3 ESMTK 10 6 3 1 21
4 Újpest II 11 5 3 3 18
5 Vasas II 11 5 2 4 17
6 Szeged-Csanád II 10 4 4 2 16
7 Csepel 11 3 5 3 14
8 Monori Se 11 3 5 3 14
9 Szolnoki MAV FC 11 3 5 3 14
10 Dabas 11 4 2 5 14
11 Bekescsaba 1912 11 3 4 4 13
12 Honvéd II 10 3 2 5 11
13 Sándorfalva 11 3 1 7 10
14 Hódmezővásárhely 11 1 5 5 8
15 BKV Előre 10 1 1 8 4
16 Szegedi VSE 11 0 3 8 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Gyulai Termál 11 39 9 +30 33
2 Újpest II 11 28 18 +10 18
3 ESMTK 10 27 10 +17 21
4 Szolnoki MAV FC 11 24 25 -1 14
5 Vasas II 11 23 12 +11 17
6 Csepel 11 21 17 +4 14
7 Monori Se 11 21 19 +2 14
8 Szeged-Csanád II 10 19 14 +5 16
9 Honvéd II 10 18 15 +3 11
10 III. Kerületi TUE 11 16 5 +11 25
11 Bekescsaba 1912 11 16 15 +1 13
12 Dabas 11 14 25 -11 14
13 Szegedi VSE 11 13 35 -22 3
14 Hódmezővásárhely 11 12 23 -11 8
15 Sándorfalva 11 8 28 -20 10
16 BKV Előre 10 7 36 -29 4
NB III - Southeast Hungary. NB III - Southeast Predictions