Prediction Audit: Szombathelyi Haladas vs SC Sopron Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Szombathelyi Haladas

Jul 26, 2026 - 16:00

1 1.35

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 85%

SC Sopron

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).

The model had projected Szombathelyi Haladas at 37.5%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Szombathelyi Haladas Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

1X2: model leaned Szombathelyi Haladas; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 1–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

Jul 26, 2026 · 20:12 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Szombathelyi Haladas 1.35 — SC Sopron 1.25
Jul 26, 2026 · 16:00 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe

Historical Decision No Primary Bet

Outcome Missed

Pre-match metrics (historical context)

Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate

Validation: Pending

Evidence ★★★★★

No strong statistical edge
Market has already priced much of the edge
Validation pending

Market Compatibility 100/100

Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1454456

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Szombathelyi Haladas 1–1 SC Sopron

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?: This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?: xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?: Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?: Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: NB III – Northwest
Fixture: Szombathelyi Haladás vs SC Sopron
Kickoff: 2026-07-26 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.0% · Draw 33.0% · Away 33.0%
xG (showing): Szombathelyi Haladás 1.35 — SC Sopron 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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NB III - Northwest — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Tatabánya	11	8	2	1	26
2	Haladás VSE	10	7	3	0	24
3	Dorogi FC	10	7	2	1	23
4	Sárisápi Bányász	11	6	2	3	20
5	SC Sopron	11	5	3	3	18
6	Bicskei	11	6	0	5	18
7	MTE 1904	10	4	3	3	15
8	Komárom	11	4	3	4	15
9	Gyori ETO II	10	4	2	4	14
10	Puskás II	10	4	1	5	13
11	Zalaegerszegi TE II	11	4	1	6	13
12	Pápai Perutz	11	3	2	6	11
13	Veszprém	10	2	4	4	10
14	Király SZE	10	1	4	5	7
15	Szombathelyi Haladas	1	0	1	0	1
15	Balatonalmádi	10	1	2	7	5
16	1908 SZAC	11	0	2	9	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Haladás VSE	10	30	9	+21	24
2	Dorogi FC	10	29	8	+21	23
3	Tatabánya	11	28	8	+20	26
4	Bicskei	11	26	23	+3	18
5	Puskás II	10	19	19	0	13
6	SC Sopron	11	18	13	+5	18
7	Sárisápi Bányász	11	18	17	+1	20
8	Zalaegerszegi TE II	11	18	21	-3	13
9	Komárom	11	16	18	-2	15
10	MTE 1904	10	15	12	+3	15
11	Gyori ETO II	10	15	12	+3	14
12	Veszprém	10	15	22	-7	10
13	Király SZE	10	11	19	-8	7
14	Balatonalmádi	10	10	29	-19	5
15	Pápai Perutz	11	9	21	-12	11
16	1908 SZAC	11	6	32	-26	2
17	Szombathelyi Haladas	1	1	1	0	1