AI correctly predicted the Kisvárda II win.
The match finished 0–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Kisvárda II Kisvárda II ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-1 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Kisvárda II attacking xG significantly stronger (1.49 vs 1.11)
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
- Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Kisvárda II win 0–1).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Sep 14, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Tiszaújváros 1.11 — Kisvárda II 1.49
-
Sep 20, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Kisvárda II win · 0–1
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Kisvárda II win · Tiszaújváros 0–1 Kisvárda II
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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NB III - Northeast — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 |
| 3 | DEAC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Diósgyőr II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Mátészalka | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Gödöllő | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Füzesabony | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Debrecen II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Kisvárda II | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Eger | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tiszaújváros | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Hajdúnánás | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 9 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 | Debrecen II | 9 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | DEAC | 9 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Cigand SE | 8 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 21 |
| 5 | Diósgyőr II | 9 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Mátészalka | 9 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 | Gödöllő | 9 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Kisvárda II | 8 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Hajdúnánás | 8 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Füzesabony | 9 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Tiszaújváros | 9 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyiregyhaza II | 9 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 3 |
| 13 | Eger | 8 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Tarpa | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 9 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 9 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
