Prediction Audit: DEAC vs Debrecen II Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

DEAC

Aug 15, 2026 - 15:30

3 1.37

2 1.23

xG Accuracy: 52%

Debrecen II

AI correctly predicted the DEAC win.

The match finished 3–2, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 DEAC DEAC ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 5 goals materialised
Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

What failed

Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (5 goals)
Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (DEAC win 3–2).

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

Aug 09, 2026 · 02:50 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · DEAC 1.37 — Debrecen II 1.23
Aug 15, 2026 · 15:30 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result DEAC win · 3–2
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe

Historical Decision No Primary Bet

Outcome Validated

Pre-match metrics (historical context)

Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate

Validation: Pending

Evidence ★★★★★

No strong statistical edge
Market has already priced much of the edge
Validation pending

Market Compatibility 100/100

Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 02:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3361748

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result DEAC win · DEAC 3–2 Debrecen II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?: This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?: xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?: Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?: Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: NB III - Northeast
Fixture: DEAC vs Debrecen II
Kickoff: 2026-08-15 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): DEAC 1.37 — Debrecen II 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

Related Predictions

See Upcoming NB III - Northeast Matches Track DEAC Next Match Prediction Track Debrecen II Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for DEAC & Debrecen II!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Predictions

NB III - Northeast — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	10	8	0	2	24
2	Cigand SE	10	7	2	1	23
3	DEAC	10	6	2	2	20
4	Kisvárda II	10	4	5	1	17
5	Debrecen II	10	5	1	4	16
6	Diósgyőr II	10	4	4	2	16
7	Mátészalka	10	4	4	2	16
8	Gödöllő	10	5	1	4	16
9	Eger	10	5	1	4	16
10	Füzesabony	10	5	0	5	15
11	Tiszaújváros	10	4	1	5	13
12	Hajdúnánás	10	3	1	6	10
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	10	3	0	7	9
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	10	3	0	7	9
15	Tarpa	10	2	0	8	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	10	1	0	9	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	10	32	8	+24	24
2	DEAC	10	25	13	+12	20
3	Debrecen II	10	25	21	+4	16
4	Cigand SE	10	24	9	+15	23
5	Diósgyőr II	10	18	14	+4	16
6	Mátészalka	10	17	14	+3	16
7	Hajdúnánás	10	17	27	-10	10
8	Kisvárda II	10	15	11	+4	17
9	Gödöllő	10	14	12	+2	16
10	Tiszaújváros	10	12	13	-1	13
11	Eger	10	12	21	-9	16
12	Füzesabony	10	10	11	-1	15
13	Nyiregyhaza II	10	10	26	-16	3
14	Tarpa	10	8	22	-14	6
15	Salgótarjáni BTC	10	7	15	-8	9
16	Tiszafuredi VSE	10	6	15	-9	9