Predictions / Football / Hungary. NB III - Northeast / Debrecen II vs Hajdúnánás

Prediction Audit: Debrecen II vs Hajdúnánás Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Debrecen II Debrecen II
Jul 25, 2026 - 15:30
5 1.40
2 1.20
xG Accuracy: 30%
Hajdúnánás Hajdúnánás

AI correctly predicted the Debrecen II win.

The match finished 5–2, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Debrecen II Debrecen II ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-2 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 7 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

What failed

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (7 goals)
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Debrecen II win 5–2).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jul 25, 2026 · 22:18 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Debrecen II 1.40 — Hajdúnánás 1.20
  2. Jul 25, 2026 · 15:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Debrecen II win · 5–2
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1456409

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Debrecen II win · Debrecen II 5–2 Hajdúnánás
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: NB III – Northeast
  • Fixture: Debrecen II vs Hajdúnánás
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-25 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.0% · Draw 33.0% · Away 33.0%
  • xG (showing): Debrecen II 1.4 — Hajdúnánás 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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NB III - Northeast NB III - Northeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ózd Sajóvölgye 10 8 0 2 24
2 Cigand SE 10 7 2 1 23
3 DEAC 10 6 2 2 20
4 Kisvárda II 10 4 5 1 17
5 Debrecen II 10 5 1 4 16
6 Diósgyőr II 10 4 4 2 16
7 Mátészalka 10 4 4 2 16
8 Gödöllő 10 5 1 4 16
9 Eger 10 5 1 4 16
10 Füzesabony 10 5 0 5 15
11 Tiszaújváros 10 4 1 5 13
12 Hajdúnánás 10 3 1 6 10
13 Salgótarjáni BTC 10 3 0 7 9
14 Tiszafuredi VSE 10 3 0 7 9
15 Tarpa 10 2 0 8 6
16 Nyiregyhaza II 10 1 0 9 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ózd Sajóvölgye 10 32 8 +24 24
2 DEAC 10 25 13 +12 20
3 Debrecen II 10 25 21 +4 16
4 Cigand SE 10 24 9 +15 23
5 Diósgyőr II 10 18 14 +4 16
6 Mátészalka 10 17 14 +3 16
7 Hajdúnánás 10 17 27 -10 10
8 Kisvárda II 10 15 11 +4 17
9 Gödöllő 10 14 12 +2 16
10 Tiszaújváros 10 12 13 -1 13
11 Eger 10 12 21 -9 16
12 Füzesabony 10 10 11 -1 15
13 Nyiregyhaza II 10 10 26 -16 3
14 Tarpa 10 8 22 -14 6
15 Salgótarjáni BTC 10 7 15 -8 9
16 Tiszafuredi VSE 10 6 15 -9 9
NB III - Northeast Hungary. NB III - Northeast Predictions