Predictions / Football / Hungary. NB III - Northeast / Cigand SE vs Eger

Prediction Audit: Cigand SE vs Eger Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Cigand SE Cigand SE
Jul 26, 2026 - 15:30
0 1.50
1 1.10
xG Accuracy: 64%
Eger Eger

The model missed the final outcome (Eger win 0–1).

The model had projected Cigand SE at 44.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Cigand SE Eger ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • 1X2: model leaned Cigand SE; match finished Eger

Market lesson

The full-time result was Eger win 0–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jul 26, 2026 · 20:06 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Cigand SE 1.50 — Eger 1.10
  2. Jul 26, 2026 · 15:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Eger win · 0–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1454386

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Eger win · Cigand SE 0–1 Eger
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: NB III – Northeast
  • Fixture: Cigánd SE vs Eger
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-26 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 10.0%
  • xG (showing): Cigánd SE 1.5 — Eger 1.1 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

Related Predictions

See Upcoming NB III - Northeast Matches Track Cigand SE Next Match Prediction Track Eger Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Get Premium Predictions for Cigand SE & Eger!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
NB III - Northeast NB III - Northeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ózd Sajóvölgye 10 8 0 2 24
2 Cigand SE 10 7 2 1 23
3 DEAC 10 6 2 2 20
4 Kisvárda II 10 4 5 1 17
5 Debrecen II 10 5 1 4 16
6 Diósgyőr II 10 4 4 2 16
7 Mátészalka 10 4 4 2 16
8 Gödöllő 10 5 1 4 16
9 Eger 10 5 1 4 16
10 Füzesabony 10 5 0 5 15
11 Tiszaújváros 10 4 1 5 13
12 Hajdúnánás 10 3 1 6 10
13 Salgótarjáni BTC 10 3 0 7 9
14 Tiszafuredi VSE 10 3 0 7 9
15 Tarpa 10 2 0 8 6
16 Nyiregyhaza II 10 1 0 9 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ózd Sajóvölgye 10 32 8 +24 24
2 DEAC 10 25 13 +12 20
3 Debrecen II 10 25 21 +4 16
4 Cigand SE 10 24 9 +15 23
5 Diósgyőr II 10 18 14 +4 16
6 Mátészalka 10 17 14 +3 16
7 Hajdúnánás 10 17 27 -10 10
8 Kisvárda II 10 15 11 +4 17
9 Gödöllő 10 14 12 +2 16
10 Tiszaújváros 10 12 13 -1 13
11 Eger 10 12 21 -9 16
12 Füzesabony 10 10 11 -1 15
13 Nyiregyhaza II 10 10 26 -16 3
14 Tarpa 10 8 22 -14 6
15 Salgótarjáni BTC 10 7 15 -8 9
16 Tiszafuredi VSE 10 6 15 -9 9
NB III - Northeast Hungary. NB III - Northeast Predictions