AI correctly predicted the SC Poltava 2 win.
The match finished 1–2, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 SC Poltava 2 SC Poltava 2 ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-2 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 3 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
- Exact score 1–2 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (3 goals)
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (SC Poltava 2 win 1–2).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Aug 02, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Penuel 1.17 — SC Poltava 2 1.43
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Aug 08, 2026 · 09:30 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result SC Poltava 2 win · 1–2
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
SC Poltava 2 win · Penuel 1–2 SC Poltava 2
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Druha Liga — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
| 1 | Karbon Cherkasy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Lozova | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Atlet | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | SC Poltava 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Vilkhivtsi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Rebel | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil II | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Oleksandria II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Trostianets | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Ruh Lviv | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| 9 | Penuel | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 9 | 25 | 8 | +17 | 23 |
| 2 | Atlet | 8 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 8 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 14 |
| 4 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 9 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rebel | 8 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 8 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | Karbon Cherkasy | 8 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Ruh Lviv | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 8 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Vilkhivtsi | 9 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Lozova | 8 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 8 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Trostianets | 7 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 14 | Oleksandria II | 8 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 15 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 8 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Nyva Ternopil II | 9 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Penuel | 8 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | SC Poltava 2 | 9 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
