AI correctly predicted the Rebel win.
The match finished 2–3, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Rebel Rebel ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-3 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 5 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (5 goals)
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Rebel win 2–3).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Jul 30, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Atlet 1.26 — Rebel 1.34
-
Aug 03, 2026 · 09:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Rebel win · 2–3
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Rebel win · Atlet 2–3 Rebel
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Druha Liga — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
| 1 | Karbon Cherkasy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 2 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Trostianets | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 3 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Lozova | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Atlet | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Vilkhivtsi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | SC Poltava 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil II | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Rebel | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Oleksandria II | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Ruh Lviv | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Penuel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 9 | 25 | 8 | +17 | 23 |
| 2 | Karbon Cherkasy | 9 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 9 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atlet | 8 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 9 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 9 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | Rebel | 8 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Ruh Lviv | 9 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Vilkhivtsi | 9 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Trostianets | 8 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 | Lozova | 8 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 8 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Oleksandria II | 9 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 8 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Nyva Ternopil II | 9 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Penuel | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 5 |
| 18 | SC Poltava 2 | 9 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
