AI correctly predicted the Atl. San Luis U21 win.
The match finished 3–2, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Atl. San Luis U21 Atl. San Luis U21 ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 5 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (5 goals)
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Atl. San Luis U21 win 3–2).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Sep 14, 2026 · 02:50 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Atl. San Luis U21 1.33 — Necaxa U21 1.27
-
Sep 19, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Atl. San Luis U21 win · 3–2
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Atl. San Luis U21 win · Atl. San Luis U21 3–2 Necaxa U21
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Liga MX U21 — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
| 3 | Club Tijuana U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Puebla U21 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Club America U21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Monterrey U21 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Juarez U21 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 |
| 11 | Necaxa U21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlante U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 | Atlas U21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna U21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 16 | Pachuca U21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 17 | Tigres UANL U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 9 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 9 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 24 |
| 3 | Monterrey U21 | 9 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul U21 | 10 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 16 |
| 5 | Club Tijuana U21 | 10 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 9 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 9 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Club America U21 | 9 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Atlante U21 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Atlas U21 | 10 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla U21 | 9 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 12 | Pachuca U21 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Necaxa U21 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Queretaro U21 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Juarez U21 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 | Tigres UANL U21 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna U21 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 10 |
