AI correctly predicted the Brackley Town win.
The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Brackley Town Brackley Town ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
- Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Brackley Town win 1–0).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Aug 30, 2026 · 02:45 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Brackley Town 1.46 — Harborough Town 1.14
-
Sep 05, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Brackley Town win · 1–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Brackley Town win · Brackley Town 1–0 Harborough Town
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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National League - North — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | King's Lynn Town | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford Town | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop Town | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor Town | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 23 |
| 2 | King's Lynn Town | 10 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 16 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 | Buxton | 10 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Hednesford Town | 10 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Chorley | 10 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 12 |
| 9 | South Shields | 10 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 | Spalding United | 10 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 14 |
| 12 | Bedford Town | 10 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | Macclesfield | 10 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 21 |
| 14 | Chester | 10 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 17 |
| 15 | Southport | 10 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 17 | Marine | 10 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 18 | Darlington 1883 | 10 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Brackley Town | 10 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 20 | Spennymoor Town | 10 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 | Harborough Town | 10 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Worksop Town | 10 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Radcliffe | 10 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 |
| 24 | AFC Telford United | 10 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
