AI correctly predicted the SpVgg Unterhaching win.
The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 SpVgg Unterhaching SpVgg Unterhaching ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- SpVgg Unterhaching attacking xG significantly stronger (1.48 vs 1.12)
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
- Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (SpVgg Unterhaching win 1–0).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Jul 25, 2026 · 20:46 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · SpVgg Unterhaching 1.48 — Greuther Fürth II 1.12
-
Jul 25, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result SpVgg Unterhaching win · 1–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
SpVgg Unterhaching win · SpVgg Unterhaching 1–0 Greuther Fürth II
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Regionalliga - Bayern — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| 2 | Memmingen | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| 3 | Eichstätt | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 | TSV 1860 München | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 |
| 6 | Illertissen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Wacker Burghausen | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 | Bayreuth | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 |
| 9 | Vilzing | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 10 | Bayern München II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 | Eltersdorf | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 12 | Augsburg II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 13 | Nürnberg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 15 | Schwaben Augsburg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 17 | Ansbach | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 18 | Aubstadt | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Landsberg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wacker Burghausen | 12 | 27 | 20 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Buchbach | 12 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 27 |
| 3 | TSV 1860 München | 11 | 24 | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 | Bayreuth | 12 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Nürnberg II | 11 | 21 | 17 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 | Illertissen | 11 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 18 |
| 7 | Vilzing | 11 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Augsburg II | 12 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 |
| 9 | Eltersdorf | 11 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 11 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 11 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 20 |
| 12 | Eichstätt | 12 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 13 | Greuther Fürth II | 11 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Memmingen | 12 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 24 |
| 15 | Bayern München II | 11 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 16 | Aubstadt | 11 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Schwaben Augsburg | 12 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Landsberg | 11 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 19 | Ansbach | 11 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
