Predictions / Football / Turkey. 1. Lig / 76 Iğdır Belediyespor vs Batman Petrolspor

Prediction Audit: 76 Iğdır Belediyespor vs Batman Petrolspor Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

76 Iğdır Belediyespor 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.15
1 1.19
xG Accuracy: 75%
Batman Petrolspor Batman Petrolspor

The model missed the final outcome (76 Iğdır Belediyespor win 2–1).

The model had projected Batman Petrolspor at 35.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Batman Petrolspor 76 Iğdır Belediyespor ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (3 goals)

Market lesson

The full-time result was 76 Iğdır Belediyespor win 2–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Oct 10, 2026 · 13:49 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 1.15 — Batman Petrolspor 1.19
  2. Oct 10, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result 76 Iğdır Belediyespor win · 2–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13211193

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result 76 Iğdır Belediyespor win · 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 2–1 Batman Petrolspor
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 1. Lig
  • Fixture: 76 Iğdır Belediyespor vs Batman Petrolspor
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.2% · Draw 31.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 1.15 — Batman Petrolspor 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.34)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 58.6% · Implied: 47.0% · Probability edge: +11.6 pts · Est. EV: +22.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 49.3% · No 50.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (13.2%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Predictions
1. Lig 1. Lig — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 19
3 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 8 5 1 2 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 16
5 Sarıyer 8 4 2 2 14
6 Keçiörengücü 8 3 4 1 13
7 Mardin BB 8 3 3 2 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 12
9 Fatih Karagümrük 8 3 3 2 12
10 Muğlaspor 8 2 5 1 11
11 Bandırmaspor 8 2 4 2 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10
13 Manisa BBSK 8 2 3 3 9
14 BB Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 8
16 Ümraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 5
18 İstanbulspor 8 1 2 5 5
19 Van BB 8 1 3 4 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Keçiörengücü 8 17 10 +7 13
2 Bursaspor 8 16 7 +9 19
3 Kayserispor 8 15 3 +12 19
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 15 13 +2 16
5 Antalyaspor 8 14 13 +1 12
6 Bandırmaspor 8 12 5 +7 10
7 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 8 12 7 +5 16
8 Fatih Karagümrük 8 12 11 +1 12
9 Manisa BBSK 8 12 12 0 9
10 Sarıyer 8 11 9 +2 14
11 Pendikspor 8 10 13 -3 10
12 Mardin BB 8 9 5 +4 12
13 Sivasspor 8 9 11 -2 8
14 Muğlaspor 8 8 7 +1 11
15 Van BB 8 8 17 -9 4
16 BB Bodrumspor 8 7 6 +1 8
17 İstanbulspor 8 7 19 -12 5
18 Ümraniyespor 8 6 9 -3 6
19 Erokspor 8 4 10 -6 5
20 Boluspor 8 3 20 -17 1
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Sivasspor 8 2.2 0.6 +1.6 8
2 Bandırmaspor 8 1.8 0.2 +1.6 10
3 Sarıyer 8 2.0 1.2 +0.8 14
4 Antalyaspor 8 0.7 0.5 +0.2 12
5 Keçiörengücü 8 1.2 1.1 +0.1 13
6 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 8 0.8 0.7 +0.1 16
7 BB Bodrumspor 8 1.1 1.2 -0.1 8
8 Batman Petrolspor 8 0.7 0.8 -0.1 16
9 Boluspor 8 0.5 0.7 -0.2 1
10 Ümraniyespor 8 1.2 2.0 -0.8 6
11 Pendikspor 8 0.6 2.2 -1.6 10
12 Van BB 8 0.2 1.8 -1.6 4
13 Kayserispor 8 — — — 19
14 Bursaspor 8 — — — 19
15 Mardin BB 8 — — — 12
16 Fatih Karagümrük 8 — — — 12
17 Muğlaspor 8 — — — 11
18 Manisa BBSK 8 — — — 9
19 Erokspor 8 — — — 5
20 İstanbulspor 8 — — — 5
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