Predictions / Football / Belgium. Second Amateur Division - ACFF / Jette vs Entité Manageoise

Prediction Audit: Jette vs Entité Manageoise Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jette Jette
Aug 23, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.43
1 1.17
xG Accuracy: 85%
Entité Manageoise Entité Manageoise

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).

The model had projected Jette at 41.4%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Jette Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Jette; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 1–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 17, 2026 · 01:14 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Jette 1.43 — Entité Manageoise 1.17
  2. Aug 23, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 17, 2026 · 01:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4363224

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Jette 1–1 Entité Manageoise
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Second Amateur Division - ACFF
  • Fixture: Jette vs Entité Manageoise
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-23 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): Jette 1.43 — Entité Manageoise 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Second Amateur Division - ACFF Second Amateur Division - ACFF — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Jette 6 4 2 0 14
2 Ganshoren 6 4 1 1 13
3 Crossing Schaerbeek 6 4 1 1 13
4 Braine 6 4 0 2 12
5 Stade Verviers 6 3 2 1 11
6 Stade Mouscronnois 7 3 2 2 11
7 AS Eupen II 6 3 2 1 11
8 La Calamine 7 3 1 3 10
9 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 6 3 1 2 10
10 Richelle United 6 3 0 3 9
11 Ostiches 7 2 3 2 9
12 Huy 6 2 2 2 8
13 RUS Binche 6 2 2 2 8
14 Stockay-Warfusée 7 2 2 3 8
15 Acren-Lessines 6 1 1 4 4
16 Union Namur 6 1 1 4 4
17 Entité Manageoise 7 0 2 5 2
18 Aywaille 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ganshoren 6 19 10 +9 13
2 Stade Mouscronnois 7 17 14 +3 11
3 Crossing Schaerbeek 6 16 9 +7 13
4 AS Eupen II 6 16 13 +3 11
5 Jette 6 14 6 +8 14
6 Stade Verviers 6 13 6 +7 11
7 Richelle United 6 13 11 +2 9
8 La Calamine 7 12 10 +2 10
9 RUS Binche 6 12 15 -3 8
10 Ostiches 7 10 11 -1 9
11 Entité Manageoise 7 10 19 -9 2
12 Braine 6 9 5 +4 12
13 Acren-Lessines 6 9 12 -3 4
14 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 6 7 8 -1 10
15 Huy 6 7 9 -2 8
16 Stockay-Warfusée 7 6 9 -3 8
17 Union Namur 6 4 14 -10 4
18 Aywaille 7 3 16 -13 1
Second Amateur Division - ACFF Belgium. Second Amateur Division - ACFF Predictions