Predictions / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg / Bahlinger SC vs FV Ravensburg

Prediction Audit: Bahlinger SC vs FV Ravensburg Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC
Aug 08, 2026 - 13:30
0 1.25
0 1.35
xG Accuracy: 49%
FV Ravensburg FV Ravensburg

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 0–0).

The model had projected FV Ravensburg at 37.5%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FV Ravensburg Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • 1X2: model leaned FV Ravensburg; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 0–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 02, 2026 · 01:42 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Bahlinger SC 1.25 — FV Ravensburg 1.35
  2. Aug 08, 2026 · 13:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 0–0
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 01:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2816711

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Bahlinger SC 0–0 FV Ravensburg
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
  • Fixture: Bahlinger SC vs FV Ravensburg
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Bahlinger SC 1.25 — FV Ravensburg 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Oberachern 10 7 2 1 23
2 Backnang 10 6 3 1 21
3 FC 08 Villingen 10 6 2 2 20
4 Reutlingen 10 6 2 2 20
5 FV Ravensburg 10 4 4 2 16
6 Young Boys Reutlingen 9 4 4 1 16
7 1. FC Muhlhausen 10 5 1 4 16
8 CFR Pforzheim 9 4 2 3 14
9 Bahlinger SC 10 3 5 2 14
10 FC Holzhausen 10 4 2 4 14
11 Balingen 9 3 3 3 12
12 Teningen 10 4 0 6 12
13 Karlsruhe II 9 2 4 3 10
14 TSV Singen 10 3 1 6 10
15 Essingen 10 2 3 5 9
16 Türkspor Neckarsulm 10 3 0 7 9
17 FC Nöttingen 10 2 0 8 6
18 Normannia Gmünd 10 1 0 9 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Backnang 10 25 12 +13 21
2 Oberachern 10 22 8 +14 23
3 1. FC Muhlhausen 10 22 23 -1 16
4 FC 08 Villingen 10 21 11 +10 20
5 FC Nöttingen 10 21 19 +2 6
6 FV Ravensburg 10 18 11 +7 16
7 Young Boys Reutlingen 9 18 12 +6 16
8 Reutlingen 10 17 12 +5 20
9 CFR Pforzheim 9 17 12 +5 14
10 Teningen 10 16 24 -8 12
11 Balingen 9 15 13 +2 12
12 Bahlinger SC 10 15 16 -1 14
13 FC Holzhausen 10 15 16 -1 14
14 Karlsruhe II 9 14 17 -3 10
15 TSV Singen 10 13 19 -6 10
16 Essingen 10 10 17 -7 9
17 Türkspor Neckarsulm 10 10 26 -16 9
18 Normannia Gmünd 10 8 29 -21 3
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Germany. Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Predictions