Prediction Audit: Prostejov B vs Sokol Lanžhot Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

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Prostejov B

Sep 12, 2026 - 08:30

1 1.30

3 1.30

xG Accuracy: 58%

Sokol Lanžhot

The model missed the final outcome (Sokol Lanžhot win 1–3).

The model had projected Prostejov B at 35.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Prostejov B Sokol Lanžhot ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 4 goals materialised
Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

What failed

Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)
1X2: model leaned Prostejov B; match finished Sokol Lanžhot

Market lesson

The full-time result was Sokol Lanžhot win 1–3, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

Sep 07, 2026 · 00:46 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Prostejov B 1.30 — Sokol Lanžhot 1.30
Sep 12, 2026 · 08:30 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result Sokol Lanžhot win · 1–3
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe

Historical Decision No Primary Bet

Outcome Missed

Pre-match metrics (historical context)

Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate

Validation: Pending

Evidence ★★★★★

No strong statistical edge
Market has already priced much of the edge
Validation pending

Market Compatibility 100/100

Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 00:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7418174

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sokol Lanžhot win · Prostejov B 1–3 Sokol Lanžhot

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?: This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?: xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?: Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?: Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 4. liga - Divizie E
Fixture: Prostejov B vs Sokol Lanžhot
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 08:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Prostejov B 1.3 — Sokol Lanžhot 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie E — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	10	9	0	1	27
2	Kozlovice	10	7	3	0	24
3	Strání	9	7	1	1	22
4	Sokol Lanžhot	10	7	0	3	21
5	SK Krumvir	10	6	1	3	19
6	Šternberk	10	5	1	4	16
7	Břeclav	10	4	3	3	15
8	Prostejov B	10	4	3	3	15
9	Hluk	10	3	5	2	14
10	Holešov	10	3	4	3	13
11	Slavičín	9	4	1	4	13
12	Brumov	9	2	1	6	7
13	Bzenec	10	2	0	8	6
14	Kroměříž II	9	1	2	6	5
15	Nové Sady	10	1	1	8	4
16	Baťov	10	0	0	10	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	10	38	9	+29	27
2	Strání	9	35	14	+21	22
3	Kozlovice	10	27	9	+18	24
4	Šternberk	10	22	19	+3	16
5	Hluk	10	21	15	+6	14
6	Prostejov B	10	21	20	+1	15
7	Sokol Lanžhot	10	19	14	+5	21
8	Holešov	10	19	17	+2	13
9	SK Krumvir	10	18	16	+2	19
10	Slavičín	9	18	17	+1	13
11	Břeclav	10	17	13	+4	15
12	Bzenec	10	15	32	-17	6
13	Nové Sady	10	15	40	-25	4
14	Brumov	9	14	28	-14	7
15	Baťov	10	9	35	-26	0
16	Kroměříž II	9	7	17	-10	5