Prediction Audit: Prostejov B vs Hluk Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

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Prostejov B

Aug 29, 2026 - 08:30

3 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 39%

Hluk

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 3–3).

The model had projected Prostejov B at 36.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Prostejov B Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 6 goals materialised
Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

What failed

Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (6 goals)
1X2: model leaned Prostejov B; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 3–3, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

Aug 23, 2026 · 01:09 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Prostejov B 1.32 — Hluk 1.28
Aug 29, 2026 · 08:30 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result Draw · 3–3
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe

Historical Decision No Primary Bet

Outcome Missed

Pre-match metrics (historical context)

Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate

Validation: Pending

Evidence ★★★★★

No strong statistical edge
Market has already priced much of the edge
Validation pending

Market Compatibility 100/100

Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 01:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5120348

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Prostejov B 3–3 Hluk

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?: This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?: xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?: Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?: Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 4. liga - Divizie E
Fixture: Prostejov B vs Hluk
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 08:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Prostejov B 1.32 — Hluk 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie E — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	10	9	0	1	27
2	Kozlovice	10	7	3	0	24
3	Strání	9	7	1	1	22
4	Sokol Lanžhot	10	7	0	3	21
5	SK Krumvir	10	6	1	3	19
6	Šternberk	10	5	1	4	16
7	Břeclav	10	4	3	3	15
8	Prostejov B	10	4	3	3	15
9	Hluk	10	3	5	2	14
10	Holešov	10	3	4	3	13
11	Slavičín	9	4	1	4	13
12	Brumov	9	2	1	6	7
13	Bzenec	10	2	0	8	6
14	Kroměříž II	9	1	2	6	5
15	Nové Sady	10	1	1	8	4
16	Baťov	10	0	0	10	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	10	38	9	+29	27
2	Strání	9	35	14	+21	22
3	Kozlovice	10	27	9	+18	24
4	Šternberk	10	22	19	+3	16
5	Hluk	10	21	15	+6	14
6	Prostejov B	10	21	20	+1	15
7	Sokol Lanžhot	10	19	14	+5	21
8	Holešov	10	19	17	+2	13
9	SK Krumvir	10	18	16	+2	19
10	Slavičín	9	18	17	+1	13
11	Břeclav	10	17	13	+4	15
12	Bzenec	10	15	32	-17	6
13	Nové Sady	10	15	40	-25	4
14	Brumov	9	14	28	-14	7
15	Baťov	10	9	35	-26	0
16	Kroměříž II	9	7	17	-10	5