Predictions / Football / Austria. Regionalliga - Ost / Wienerberg vs Favoritner AC

Prediction Audit: Wienerberg vs Favoritner AC Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Aug 29, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.28
2 1.32
xG Accuracy: 58%

AI correctly predicted the Favoritner AC win.

The match finished 0–2, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Favoritner AC Favoritner AC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Favoritner AC win 0–2).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 23, 2026 · 02:47 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Wienerberg 1.28 — Favoritner AC 1.32
  2. Aug 29, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Favoritner AC win · 0–2
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5140214

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Favoritner AC win · Wienerberg 0–2 Favoritner AC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga - Ost
  • Fixture: Wienerberg vs Favoritner AC
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Wienerberg 1.28 — Favoritner AC 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Predictions
Regionalliga - Ost Regionalliga - Ost — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 10 7 1 2 22
2 Oberwart 10 7 0 3 21
3 Wiener SC 10 6 1 3 19
4 Traiskirchen 10 5 2 3 17
5 Wiener Viktoria 9 5 1 3 16
6 Scheiblingkirchen 9 4 3 2 15
7 Krems / Rehberg 10 4 2 4 14
8 Parndorf 9 4 2 3 14
9 Fach-Donaufeld 9 4 2 3 14
10 SV Horn 10 3 2 5 11
11 Leobendorf 9 3 2 4 11
12 Gloggnitz 10 3 2 5 11
13 Mattersburg SV 2020 9 3 1 5 10
14 Donau 9 2 4 3 10
15 Favoritner AC 10 3 1 6 10
16 Wienerberg 9 0 0 9 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 10 26 10 +16 22
2 Wiener SC 10 24 11 +13 19
3 Traiskirchen 10 23 20 +3 17
4 Oberwart 10 21 13 +8 21
5 Krems / Rehberg 10 17 15 +2 14
6 Wiener Viktoria 9 15 9 +6 16
7 Parndorf 9 15 13 +2 14
8 Scheiblingkirchen 9 15 16 -1 15
9 Donau 9 15 18 -3 10
10 SV Horn 10 14 15 -1 11
11 Gloggnitz 10 12 19 -7 11
12 Fach-Donaufeld 9 11 10 +1 14
13 Mattersburg SV 2020 9 11 13 -2 10
14 Leobendorf 9 10 13 -3 11
15 Favoritner AC 10 7 13 -6 10
16 Wienerberg 9 6 34 -28 0