AI correctly predicted the Heart Of Midlothian win.
The match finished 2–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
A
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.23) — 3 goals materialised
- Heart Of Midlothian attacking xG significantly stronger (1.91 vs 1.32)
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Heart Of Midlothian win 2–1).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Aug 29, 2026 · 19:31 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Heart Of Midlothian 1.91 — ST Johnstone 1.32
-
Aug 29, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Heart Of Midlothian win · 2–1
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Heart Of Midlothian win · Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 ST Johnstone
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Premiership — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 | Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Dundee | 7 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 4 | ST Johnstone | 7 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 7 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Rangers | 7 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 7 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 7 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 7 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
| # | TEAM | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 11.1 | 1.9 | +9.2 | 18 |
| 2 | Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 7.1 | 4.5 | +2.6 | 13 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 7 | 7.2 | 4.8 | +2.4 | 8 |
| 4 | ST Mirren | 7 | 6.2 | 4.7 | +1.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Rangers | 7 | 5.3 | 3.8 | +1.5 | 16 |
| 6 | ST Johnstone | 7 | 6.7 | 5.6 | +1.1 | 8 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 7 | 7.8 | 7.3 | +0.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 6.9 | 8.3 | -1.4 | 8 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 7 | 3.4 | 5.4 | -2.0 | 8 |
| 10 | Dundee | 7 | 5.6 | 8.7 | -3.1 | 10 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 1.7 | 5.3 | -3.6 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 3.1 | 11.9 | -8.8 | 5 |
