Predictions / Football / Poland. Ekstraklasa / Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock

Prediction Audit: Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
Aug 07, 2026 - 18:30
2 1.57
1 1.44
xG Accuracy: 79%
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock

AI correctly predicted the Wisla Krakow win.

The match finished 2–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade A

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.01) — 3 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Wisla Krakow win 2–1).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 07, 2026 · 18:29 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Wisla Krakow 1.57 — Wisla Plock 1.44
  2. Aug 07, 2026 · 18:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Wisla Krakow win · 2–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 02:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2681267

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Wisla Krakow win · Wisla Krakow 2–1 Wisla Plock
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ekstraklasa
  • Fixture: Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-07 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.4% · Draw 27.1% · Away 33.6%
  • xG (showing): Wisla Krakow 1.57 — Wisla Plock 1.44 (total xG ≈ 3.01)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 42.1% · Over 2.5 57.9%); BTTS Yes (Yes 61.9% · No 38.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 61.9% · No 38.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.1%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 22
2 Legia Warszawa 9 5 4 0 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 19
4 Wisla Krakow 9 5 2 2 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 15
7 Zaglebie Lubin 9 4 3 2 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 11
12 Widzew Łódź 9 1 6 2 9
13 Cracovia Krakow 9 2 2 5 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 6
17 Wieczysta Kraków 8 1 2 5 5
18 Raków Częstochowa 9 1 0 8 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Legia Warszawa 9 19 8 +11 19
2 Lech Poznan 8 17 7 +10 19
3 Wisla Krakow 9 17 12 +5 17
4 Gornik Zabrze 9 16 8 +8 22
5 GKS Katowice 8 16 13 +3 12
6 Piast Gliwice 9 16 15 +1 13
7 Widzew Łódź 9 13 13 0 9
8 Pogon Szczecin 8 12 6 +6 15
9 Korona Kielce 9 12 10 +2 15
10 Jagiellonia 8 12 13 -1 12
11 Raków Częstochowa 9 12 21 -9 3
12 Zaglebie Lubin 9 11 10 +1 15
13 Slask Wroclaw 9 11 15 -4 6
14 Wieczysta Kraków 8 11 17 -6 5
15 Wisla Plock 8 9 12 -3 11
16 Cracovia Krakow 9 9 14 -5 8
17 Motor Lublin 9 9 15 -6 6
18 Radomiak Radom 9 7 20 -13 8
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 8 12.5 4.9 +7.6 19
2 Cracovia Krakow 9 13.4 8.3 +5.1 8
3 Legia Warszawa 9 11.2 6.9 +4.3 19
4 Gornik Zabrze 9 12.1 8.3 +3.8 22
5 Wisla Krakow 9 12.9 9.2 +3.7 17
6 Wieczysta Kraków 8 13.5 11.1 +2.4 5
7 Motor Lublin 9 11.3 10.1 +1.2 6
8 Jagiellonia 8 9.5 9.1 +0.4 12
9 Widzew Łódź 9 11.6 11.3 +0.3 9
10 Pogon Szczecin 8 9.0 9.8 -0.8 15
11 Slask Wroclaw 9 11.3 12.6 -1.3 6
12 Zaglebie Lubin 9 9.5 11.2 -1.7 15
13 GKS Katowice 8 12.2 14.3 -2.1 12
14 Wisla Plock 8 10.2 12.7 -2.5 11
15 Korona Kielce 9 6.2 9.6 -3.4 15
16 Piast Gliwice 9 9.0 12.6 -3.6 13
17 Radomiak Radom 9 8.3 13.8 -5.5 8
18 Raków Częstochowa 9 11.2 19.1 -7.9 3
Ekstraklasa Poland. Ekstraklasa Predictions