Predictions / Football / Slovakia. Super Liga / Zemplín Michalovce vs Komárno

Prediction Audit: Zemplín Michalovce vs Komárno Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Zemplín Michalovce Zemplín Michalovce
Aug 08, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.21
1 1.38
xG Accuracy: 85%
Komárno Komárno

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).

The model had projected Komárno at 39.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Komárno Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Komárno; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 1–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 08, 2026 · 15:56 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Zemplín Michalovce 1.21 — Komárno 1.38
  2. Aug 08, 2026 · 16:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2825438

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Zemplín Michalovce 1–1 Komárno
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Super Liga
  • Fixture: Zemplín Michalovce vs Komárno
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 39.2%
  • xG (showing): Zemplín Michalovce 1.21 — Komárno 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.59)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.6%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 52.1% · Over 2.5 47.9%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Super Liga Super Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Dunajska Streda 8 6 2 0 20
2 Žilina 9 6 2 1 20
3 Spartak Trnava 9 5 3 1 18
4 Slovan Bratislava 8 5 1 2 16
5 Podbrezová 9 4 2 3 14
6 Zemplín Michalovce 9 4 1 4 13
7 FK Košice 8 3 3 2 12
8 Skalica 9 2 2 5 8
9 Dukla Banská Bystrica 9 2 1 6 7
10 Komárno 9 0 5 4 5
11 AS Trencin 8 1 2 5 5
12 Ružomberok 9 1 2 6 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dunajska Streda 8 25 5 +20 20
2 Žilina 9 23 17 +6 20
3 Spartak Trnava 9 21 10 +11 18
4 FK Košice 8 21 18 +3 12
5 Slovan Bratislava 8 20 9 +11 16
6 Podbrezová 9 13 16 -3 14
7 Skalica 9 11 19 -8 8
8 AS Trencin 8 10 20 -10 5
9 Zemplín Michalovce 9 9 11 -2 13
10 Dukla Banská Bystrica 9 9 21 -12 7
11 Komárno 9 8 14 -6 5
12 Ružomberok 9 8 18 -10 5
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