AI correctly predicted the Fortune Sacco win.
The match finished 0–3, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 0-1, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-2 0-3 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (3 goals)
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Fortune Sacco win 0–3).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Jun 13, 2026 · 19:06 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · MCF 0.92 — Fortune Sacco 1.02
-
Jun 13, 2026 · 11:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Fortune Sacco win · 0–3
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Fortune Sacco win · MCF 0–3 Fortune Sacco
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Super League — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori Youth | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa Elite | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera Black Stars | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati Youth FC | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United FC | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 25 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3K | 38 | 62 | 26 | +36 | 77 |
| 2 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 61 | 41 | +20 | 63 |
| 3 | Migori Youth | 38 | 57 | 29 | +28 | 81 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 56 | 28 | +28 | 74 |
| 5 | Talanta | 38 | 53 | 41 | +12 | 57 |
| 6 | MOFA | 38 | 51 | 30 | +21 | 64 |
| 7 | Mombasa Elite | 38 | 51 | 32 | +19 | 76 |
| 8 | Naivas | 38 | 47 | 30 | +17 | 61 |
| 9 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 37 | 36 | +1 | 50 |
| 10 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 44 |
| 11 | Kibera Black Stars | 38 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 | Kabati Youth FC | 38 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 39 |
| 14 | Soy United | 38 | 31 | 27 | +4 | 52 |
| 15 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 43 |
| 16 | Vihiga United FC | 38 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 38 |
| 18 | Mwatate United | 38 | 27 | 64 | -37 | 25 |
| 19 | MCF | 38 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 34 |
| 20 | Kisumu All Stars | 38 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 39 |
