AI correctly predicted the Atletico Nacional win.
The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-0 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Atletico Nacional attacking xG significantly stronger (1.55 vs 1.05)
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
- Exact score 2–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Atletico Nacional win 2–0).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Jul 21, 2026 · 20:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Atletico Nacional 1.55 — Tigres FC 1.05
-
Jul 21, 2026 · 21:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Atletico Nacional win · 2–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Atletico Nacional win · Atletico Nacional 2–0 Tigres FC
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Copa Colombia — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Alianza Petrolera | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Popayan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 12 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Popayan | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Alianza Petrolera | 4 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 | Real Santander | 4 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 |
