Predictions / Football / Bolivia. Primera División / San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Blooming

Prediction Audit: San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Blooming Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

San Antonio Bulo Bulo San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Aug 01, 2026 - 21:15
2 2.38
0 1.15
xG Accuracy: 66%
Blooming Blooming

AI correctly predicted the San Antonio Bulo Bulo win.

The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo San Antonio Bulo Bulo ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 2-1, 2-0, 1-1, 3-1, 1-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Model vs Closing Market

Strong Disagreement

The model rates San Antonio Bulo Bulo considerably stronger than the closing betting market.

Largest probability gap: San Antonio Bulo Bulo +24.1 pp

Outcome Model Closing Market Difference Signal
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 63.6% 39.5% +24.1 pp Model Edge
Draw 20.5% 26.8% -6.3 pp Market Higher
Blooming 15.9% 33.7% -17.8 pp Market Higher

The statistical model estimates San Antonio Bulo Bulo's win probability at 63.6%, compared with the closing market's implied probability of 39.5%, a difference of 24.1 percentage points. This highlights a substantial disagreement between the model's assessment and the market consensus, rather than indicating which view is ultimately correct.

Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.

After full time, the model's directional lean matched the result (San Antonio Bulo Bulo win 2–0).

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • San Antonio Bulo Bulo attacking xG significantly stronger (2.38 vs 1.15)
  • Exact score 2–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)

Market lesson

Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced San Antonio Bulo Bulo more conservatively (39.5% vs model 63.6%, 24.1 pp), but the model's lean was validated (San Antonio Bulo Bulo win 2–0).

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 01, 2026 · 21:14 UTC Forecast generated
    • Model 1X2 · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 63.6% · Draw 20.5% · Blooming 15.9%
    • xG · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2.38 — Blooming 1.15
  2. Aug 01, 2026 · 20:44 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
    • 1X2 odds · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2.29 · Draw 3.38 · Blooming 2.69
    • Implied 1X2 · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 39.5% · Draw 26.8% · Blooming 33.7%
    • Bookmaker · Pinnacle
  3. Aug 01, 2026 · 21:14 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
    • 1X2 odds · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2.29 · Draw 3.38 · Blooming 2.69
    • Implied 1X2 · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 39.5% · Draw 26.8% · Blooming 33.7%
    • Bookmaker · Pinnacle
  4. Aug 01, 2026 · 21:15 UTC Kickoff
  5. FT Full-time result San Antonio Bulo Bulo win · 2–0
  6. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  7. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Cautious / Wait

Historical label: Originally displayed as "Wait for validation".

Historical Decision Wait
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 45/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Warning
  • Large market gap (24 pp)
  • High xG deviation from league baseline (76%+)
Evidence ★★★★★
  • Strong model lean
  • Pricing remains divergent
  • Validation warning
Pricing proximity (inverse gap) 0/100
Betting Confidence 29/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 23:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1657573

Closing Odds 2.29
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result San Antonio Bulo Bulo win · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2–0 Blooming
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Primera División
  • Fixture: San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Blooming
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-01 21:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 63.6% · Draw 20.5% · Away 15.9%
  • xG (showing): San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2.38 — Blooming 1.15 (total xG ≈ 3.53)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): San Antonio Bulo Bulo
  • Model: 63.6% · Implied: 39.5% · Probability edge: +24.1 pts · Est. EV: +6.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 63.0% · No 37.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (9.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Primera División Primera División — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 45
2 Bolívar 20 14 3 3 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 42
4 Real Potosí 20 8 8 4 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 30
7 Guabirá 20 8 5 7 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 27
9 Nacional Potosí 20 8 3 9 27
10 Independiente Petrolero 20 7 4 9 25
11 Real Oruro 20 6 3 11 21
12 ABB 20 6 2 12 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 6 2 12 20
14 Universitario de Vinto 20 5 3 12 18
15 Real Tomayapo 20 4 4 12 16
16 Gualberto Villarroel SJ 20 2 8 10 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bolívar 20 54 22 +32 45
2 Always Ready 20 47 13 +34 45
3 The Strongest 20 39 22 +17 42
4 Oriente Petrolero 20 36 27 +9 30
5 Guabirá 20 32 39 -7 29
6 Real Oruro 20 32 50 -18 21
7 Aurora 20 31 27 +4 30
8 ABB 20 31 45 -14 20
9 Blooming 20 30 22 +8 27
10 Nacional Potosí 20 30 28 +2 27
11 Real Potosí 20 27 14 +13 32
12 Independiente Petrolero 20 27 35 -8 25
13 Universitario de Vinto 20 26 39 -13 18
14 Gualberto Villarroel SJ 20 21 37 -16 14
15 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 21 40 -19 20
16 Real Tomayapo 20 15 39 -24 16
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Bolívar 20 1.6 1.4 +0.2 45
2 Real Potosí 20 1.4 1.6 -0.2 32
3 Always Ready 20 — — — 45
4 The Strongest 20 — — — 42
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 — — — 30
6 Aurora 20 — — — 30
7 Guabirá 20 — — — 29
8 Blooming 20 — — — 27
9 Nacional Potosí 20 — — — 27
10 Independiente Petrolero 20 — — — 25
11 Real Oruro 20 — — — 21
12 ABB 20 — — — 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 — — — 20
14 Universitario de Vinto 20 — — — 18
15 Real Tomayapo 20 — — — 16
16 Gualberto Villarroel SJ 20 — — — 14