Predictions / Football / Uzbekistan. Pro League A / Yaypan vs Olimpik-Mobiuz

Prediction Audit: Yaypan vs Olimpik-Mobiuz Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

⚽
Yaypan
Jun 14, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.27
6 1.33
xG Accuracy: 26%
Olimpik-Mobiuz Olimpik-Mobiuz

AI correctly predicted the Olimpik-Mobiuz win.

The match finished 1–6, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Olimpik-Mobiuz Olimpik-Mobiuz ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-6 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 7 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

What failed

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (7 goals)
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Olimpik-Mobiuz win 1–6).

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 14, 2026 · 17:54 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Yaypan 1.27 — Olimpik-Mobiuz 1.33
  2. Jun 14, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Olimpik-Mobiuz win · 1–6
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1798009

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Olimpik-Mobiuz win · Yaypan 1–6 Olimpik-Mobiuz
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Pro League A
  • Fixture: Yaypan vs Olimpik-Mobiuz
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-14 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 10.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 45.0%
  • xG (showing): Yaypan 1.27 — Olimpik-Mobiuz 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Pro League A Pro League A — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Aral 22 17 4 1 55
2 Shortan 22 14 4 4 46
3 Metalourg 22 13 5 4 44
4 FarDu 22 11 7 4 40
5 Gazalkent 22 11 5 6 38
6 Lochin 22 11 5 6 38
7 Kattaqurgon 21 11 3 7 36
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 20 9 5 6 32
9 Respublika FA 21 8 4 9 28
10 Yaypan 22 7 4 11 25
11 Jayxun 22 7 3 12 24
12 Pakhtakor II 22 3 1 18 10
13 BuxDu 22 3 1 18 10
14 Qiziriq 22 1 1 20 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Metalourg 22 50 17 +33 44
2 Aral 22 47 14 +33 55
3 Gazalkent 22 41 26 +15 38
4 Shortan 22 39 21 +18 46
5 FarDu 22 39 32 +7 40
6 Olimpik-Mobiuz 20 37 24 +13 32
7 Lochin 22 34 26 +8 38
8 Respublika FA 21 30 30 0 28
9 Kattaqurgon 21 27 20 +7 36
10 Yaypan 22 26 40 -14 25
11 Jayxun 22 24 30 -6 24
12 BuxDu 22 19 56 -37 10
13 Pakhtakor II 22 16 51 -35 10
14 Qiziriq 22 12 54 -42 4
Pro League A Uzbekistan. Pro League A Predictions