Predictions / Football / Russia. Supreme Division Women / CSKA Moskva W vs Rostov

Prediction Audit: CSKA Moskva W vs Rostov Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

CSKA Moskva W CSKA Moskva W
Jul 17, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.73
0 0.87
xG Accuracy: 73%
Rostov Rostov

AI correctly predicted the CSKA Moskva W win.

The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade A

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 CSKA Moskva W CSKA Moskva W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • CSKA Moskva W attacking xG significantly stronger (1.73 vs 0.87)
  • Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (CSKA Moskva W win 2–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jul 17, 2026 · 19:29 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · CSKA Moskva W 1.73 — Rostov 0.87
  2. Jul 17, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result CSKA Moskva W win · 2–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • Moderate model lean
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 16:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1616613

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result CSKA Moskva W win · CSKA Moskva W 2–0 Rostov
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Russian Women's Supreme Division
  • Fixture: CSKA Moskva W vs Rostov
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-17 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 50.0% · Draw 50.0% · Away 0.0%
  • xG (showing): CSKA Moskva W 1.73 — Rostov 0.87 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Supreme Division Women Supreme Division Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Zenit W 18 16 2 0 50
2 CSKA Moskva W 19 16 1 2 49
3 Spartak Moskva 18 13 4 1 43
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 18 11 4 3 37
5 Krylya Sovetov W 18 9 4 5 31
6 Dinamo Moskva 18 9 1 8 28
7 Rubin Kazan 19 5 8 6 23
8 Chertanovo 19 6 3 10 21
9 Zvezda Perm W 19 4 4 11 16
10 Krasnodar W 18 2 7 9 13
11 Rostov 19 3 3 13 12
12 Ryazan W 19 1 6 12 9
13 Yenisey W 18 0 3 15 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zenit W 18 51 5 +46 50
2 CSKA Moskva W 19 51 9 +42 49
3 Spartak Moskva 18 44 11 +33 43
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 18 33 9 +24 37
5 Krylya Sovetov W 18 25 20 +5 31
6 Rubin Kazan 19 22 25 -3 23
7 Chertanovo 19 22 34 -12 21
8 Dinamo Moskva 18 19 17 +2 28
9 Krasnodar W 18 15 29 -14 13
10 Zvezda Perm W 19 12 33 -21 16
11 Ryazan W 19 10 39 -29 9
12 Yenisey W 18 7 42 -35 3
13 Rostov 19 6 44 -38 12
Supreme Division Women Russia. Supreme Division Women Predictions