Predictions / Football / Russia. Supreme Division Women / CSKA Moskva W vs Zenit W

Prediction Audit: CSKA Moskva W vs Zenit W Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

CSKA Moskva W CSKA Moskva W
Jun 27, 2026 - 13:30
0 1.42
0 1.18
xG Accuracy: 49%
Zenit W Zenit W

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 0–0).

The model had projected CSKA Moskva W at 40.9%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 CSKA Moskva W Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • 1X2: model leaned CSKA Moskva W; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 0–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 27, 2026 · 20:40 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · CSKA Moskva W 1.42 — Zenit W 1.18
  2. Jun 27, 2026 · 13:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 0–0
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 16:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1617248

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · CSKA Moskva W 0–0 Zenit W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Supreme Division Women
  • Fixture: CSKA Moskva W vs Zenit W
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-27 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 10.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 45.0%
  • xG (showing): CSKA Moskva W 1.42 — Zenit W 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Supreme Division Women Supreme Division Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Zenit W 19 17 2 0 53
2 CSKA Moskva W 19 16 1 2 49
3 Spartak Moskva 19 13 4 2 43
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 19 12 4 3 40
5 Krylya Sovetov W 19 9 5 5 32
6 Dinamo Moskva 19 10 1 8 31
7 Chertanovo 20 7 3 10 24
8 Rubin Kazan 20 5 8 7 23
9 Zvezda Perm W 20 4 5 11 17
10 Krasnodar W 19 2 8 9 14
11 Rostov 20 3 4 13 13
12 Ryazan W 20 1 6 13 9
13 Yenisey W 19 0 3 16 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zenit W 19 52 5 +47 53
2 CSKA Moskva W 19 51 9 +42 49
3 Spartak Moskva 19 44 12 +32 43
4 Lokomotiv Moskva W 19 35 9 +26 40
5 Krylya Sovetov W 19 26 21 +5 32
6 Chertanovo 20 24 35 -11 24
7 Rubin Kazan 20 22 26 -4 23
8 Dinamo Moskva 19 20 17 +3 31
9 Krasnodar W 19 15 29 -14 14
10 Zvezda Perm W 20 13 34 -21 17
11 Ryazan W 20 11 41 -30 9
12 Yenisey W 19 7 44 -37 3
13 Rostov 20 6 44 -38 13
Supreme Division Women Russia. Supreme Division Women Predictions