Predictions / Football / Estonia. Esiliiga B / Tulevik vs Levadia U19

Prediction Audit: Tulevik vs Levadia U19 Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Tulevik Tulevik
Aug 16, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.31
4 1.29
xG Accuracy: 44%
Levadia U19 Levadia U19

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade Not available

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Tulevik Levadia U19 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-4 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 5 goals materialised
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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Aug 16, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
  2. FT Full-time result Levadia U19 win · 1–4

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: No prediction record
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Aug 11, 2026 · 01:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3602461

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Levadia U19 win · Tulevik 1–4 Levadia U19
Prediction No prediction record
Decision Grade Not assessed

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Esiliiga B
  • Fixture: Tulevik vs Levadia U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-16 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Tulevik 1.31 — Levadia U19 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Cautious / Wait

Outcome: —

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

November 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Esiliiga B Esiliiga B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Narva U21 36 24 4 8 76
2 Levadia U19 36 22 3 11 69
3 Phoenix 36 20 3 13 63
4 Luunja 36 19 5 12 62
4 Johvi Phoenix 19 11 1 7 34
5 Tulevik 36 17 5 14 56
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 36 16 5 15 53
7 Tartu Kalev 36 16 2 18 50
8 JK Tabasalu 36 11 5 20 38
9 Tallinna Kalev II 36 9 6 21 33
10 Legion 36 5 4 27 19
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 36 105 74 +31 53
2 Luunja 36 97 70 +27 62
3 Tulevik 36 90 76 +14 56
4 Levadia U19 36 88 60 +28 69
5 Phoenix 36 86 78 +8 63
6 Narva U21 36 80 41 +39 76
7 Tartu Kalev 36 80 71 +9 50
8 Tallinna Kalev II 36 70 90 -20 33
9 JK Tabasalu 36 50 89 -39 38
10 Johvi Phoenix 19 49 47 +2 34
11 Legion 36 36 133 -97 19