Predictions / Football / Sweden. Division 2 - Södra Svealand / Haninge vs Sleipner

Prediction Audit: Haninge vs Sleipner Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Haninge Haninge
Jun 27, 2026 - 11:00
6 1.43
1 1.17
xG Accuracy: 27%
Sleipner Sleipner

AI correctly predicted the Haninge win.

The match finished 6–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Haninge Haninge ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 6-1 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 7 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

What failed

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (7 goals)
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Haninge win 6–1).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 27, 2026 · 20:04 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Haninge 1.43 — Sleipner 1.17
  2. Jun 27, 2026 · 11:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Haninge win · 6–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 03:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1674674

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Haninge win · Haninge 6–1 Sleipner
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Division 2 - Södra Svealand
  • Fixture: Haninge vs Sleipner
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-27 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 10.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 45.0%
  • xG (showing): Haninge 1.43 — Sleipner 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Division 2 - Södra Svealand Division 2 - Södra Svealand — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Farsta 25 15 4 6 49
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 44
4 Nyköping 24 13 4 7 43
5 Haninge 25 13 4 8 43
6 Rågsved 25 12 6 7 42
7 Smedby 25 10 6 9 36
8 Fittja 24 10 3 11 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 31
10 Örebro Syrianska 25 9 4 12 31
11 Nacka Iliria 25 8 3 14 27
12 Syrianska FC 25 7 5 13 26
13 Lindo FF 25 6 2 17 20
14 Eker Örebro 24 4 3 17 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Haninge 25 62 50 +12 43
2 Farsta 25 51 27 +24 49
3 Sleipner 24 49 36 +13 45
4 Rågsved 25 49 40 +9 42
5 Forward 24 45 29 +16 44
6 Smedby 25 44 37 +7 36
7 Nyköping 24 39 23 +16 43
8 Syrianska FC 25 39 54 -15 26
9 Fittja 24 37 38 -1 33
10 Karlslund 24 37 38 -1 31
11 Lindo FF 25 33 52 -19 20
12 Nacka Iliria 25 31 49 -18 27
13 Örebro Syrianska 25 29 30 -1 31
14 Eker Örebro 24 29 71 -42 15
Division 2 - Södra Svealand Sweden. Division 2 - Södra Svealand Predictions