Predictions / Football / Sweden. Division 2 - Södra Svealand / Syrianska FC vs Forward

Prediction Audit: Syrianska FC vs Forward Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Syrianska FC Syrianska FC
Jun 14, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.31
1 1.29
xG Accuracy: 64%
Forward Forward

The model missed the final outcome (Forward win 0–1).

The model had projected Syrianska FC at 35.6%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Syrianska FC Forward ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • 1X2: model leaned Syrianska FC; match finished Forward

Market lesson

The full-time result was Forward win 0–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 14, 2026 · 18:04 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Syrianska FC 1.31 — Forward 1.29
  2. Jun 14, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Forward win · 0–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1449909

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Forward win · Syrianska FC 0–1 Forward
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Division 2 - Södra Svealand
  • Fixture: Syrianska FC vs Forward
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-14 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 10.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 45.0%
  • xG (showing): Syrianska FC 1.31 — Forward 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

Related Predictions

See Upcoming Division 2 - Södra Svealand Matches Track Syrianska FC Next Match Prediction Track Forward Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

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Division 2 - Södra Svealand Division 2 - Södra Svealand — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 44
4 Nyköping 24 13 4 7 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 43
6 Rågsved 24 11 6 7 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 36
8 Fittja 24 10 3 11 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 31
10 Örebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 28
11 Syrianska FC 24 7 5 12 26
12 Nacka Iliria 24 7 3 14 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 20
14 Eker Örebro 24 4 3 17 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Haninge 24 58 45 +13 43
2 Farsta 24 49 26 +23 46
3 Sleipner 24 49 36 +13 45
4 Forward 24 45 29 +16 44
5 Rågsved 24 45 37 +8 39
6 Smedby 24 41 33 +8 36
7 Nyköping 24 39 23 +16 43
8 Syrianska FC 24 38 52 -14 26
9 Fittja 24 37 38 -1 33
10 Karlslund 24 37 38 -1 31
11 Lindo FF 24 32 50 -18 20
12 Eker Örebro 24 29 71 -42 15
13 Örebro Syrianska 24 27 29 -2 28
14 Nacka Iliria 24 26 45 -19 24
Division 2 - Södra Svealand Sweden. Division 2 - Södra Svealand Predictions